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Find 1. (10 pts) The posterior distribution of , and via simulation: 2. (10 pts) P(2 > 1 | data) 3. (10 pts) A 95%

Find 1. (10 pts) The posterior distribution of , and via simulation: 2. (10 pts) P(2 > 1 | data) 3. (10 pts) A 95% Central CI for the correlation between yi,1 and yi,2 (i.e. for ()1,2/ p ()1,1(2,2) 4. (10 pts) P(1 > 50 | data)

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