Question
Find the intrinsic value of a share of stock XYZ using the two-stage dividend discount model. The data for the valuation model has been obtained
Find the intrinsic value of a share of stock XYZ using the two-stage dividend discount model. The data for the valuation model has been obtained from the Value Line Research Center. Because the report contains data from the end of 2014, we will use the end of 2014 (after the 2014 dividend has been paid) as t = 0.
a) The XYZ's beta from Value Line is 1.35. Assume that the risk-less rate of interest is 4% and the expected stock market return is 9%. Using the CAPM, what is XYZ's required rate of return?
b) XYZ's 2014 dividend as the t = 0 value is 0.32 and Value Line's forecast for XYZ's 5-year earnings growth is 17% for next 5 years, what will XYZ's dividend per share be at the end of 2019? (Assuming XYZ's plowback ratio remains constant and thus XYZ's dividend grows at the same rate as earnings).
c) Suppose that XYZ changes its payout policy in 2019 to pay 80% of its earnings as dividends. Using XYZ's 2014 earnings (2.03 per share) and the Value Line's 5-year growth forecast, what would XYZ's dividends per share be at the end of 2019? (Hint: what would be the earnings at 2019?)
d) After t = 5 (i.e., 2019), suppose XYZ's growth rate slows down to the commonly assumed long-run economic growth rate of 5%. Use the DDM and the required rate of return obtained in part a) to compute the expected intrinsic value of XYZ at the end of 2019. (Hint: what is the dividend at 2019? Use your answer in partc))
e) Under the payout assumption in (c) and Value Line's projected ROE=17% for XYZ in 2019, what plowback ratio for XYZ would maximize its intrinsic value? (Hint: compare ROE and investors' required rate of return)
f) Using the assumptions and results in (a), (b), (c) and (d), compute the intrinsic value of XYZ today (at t = 0). Assume XYZ's payout policy is unchanged until t = 5. (Hint: use two-stage DDM. The dividend level grows till 2019 following part b). The expected intrinsic value of XYZ at the end of 2019 following part c)&d))
Will offer extra points for solving the latter part of this question: http://www.chegg.com/homework-help/questions-and-answers/find-intrinsic-value-share-stock-xyz-using-two-stage-dividend-discount-model-data-valuatio-q6928897
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