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Firms A and B are involved in a lawsuit. Suppose that investors expect that there is a 5 0 % chance that the judge will

Firms A and B are involved in a lawsuit. Suppose that investors expect that there is a 50% chance that the judge will rule in favor of Firm A (in which case Firm B will have to pay Firm A $50 million), and a 50% chance that the judge will rule in favor of Firm B (in which case there will be no payments required by either party). The judge's decision becomes publicly available on March 9 in the morning. assume instead that A's and B's returns on March 9 are 5% and 3%, respectively. Assume, in addition, that there is no other firm-specific information about either of the two firms that becomes publicly available on March 9. Can the observed returns of 5% and 3% be consistent with rational markets? If so, why? If not, why not?

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