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Firms A and B are involved in a lawsuit. Suppose that investors expect that there is a 5 0 % chance that the judge will
Firms A and B are involved in a lawsuit. Suppose that investors expect that there is a chance that the judge will rule in favor of Firm A in which case Firm B will have to pay Firm A $ million and a chance that the judge will rule in favor of Firm B in which case there will be no payments required by either party The judge's decision becomes publicly available on March in the morning. assume instead that As and Bs returns on March are and respectively. Assume, in addition, that there is no other firmspecific information about either of the two firms that becomes publicly available on March Can the observed returns of and be consistent with rational markets? If so why? If not, why not?
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