Question
Flextronics stock price had been lagging its industry averages, so its board of directors brought in a new CEO, John Lee. Lee had brought in
Flextronics stock price had been lagging its industry averages, so its board of directors brought in a new CEO, John Lee. Lee had brought in Ashley Novak; finance MBA who had been working for a consulting company, to replace the old CFO, and Lee asked Ashley to develop the financial planning section of the strategic plan. In her previous job, Novaks primary task had been to help clients understand and interpret financial statements and develop financial forecasts.
Novak began as she always did, by comparing Flextronicss financial ratios to the industry averages. If any ratio was substandard, she discussed it with the responsible manager to see what could be done to improve the situation. The following data shows Flextronicss latest financial statements plus some ratios and other data that Novak plans to use in her analysis.
Flextronics (Millions of Dollars Except Per Share Data) |
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Balance Sheet, 12/31/2013 | Income Statement, Year Ending 2013 |
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Cash | $ 20 | Sales | $2,000 |
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Accts. rec. | 280 | Op. costs (excl. depr.) | 1,800 |
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Inventories | 400 | Depreciation | 50 |
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Total CA | $ 700 | EBIT | $ 150 |
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Net fixed assets | 500 | Interest | 40 |
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Total assets | $1,200 | Pretax earnings | $ 110 |
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Taxes (40%) | 44 |
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Accts. pay. & accruals | $ 80 | Net income | $ 66 |
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Line of credit | $0 |
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Total CL | $ 80 | Dividends | $20.0 |
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Long-term debt | 500 | Add. to RE | $46.0 |
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Total liabilities | $ 580 | Common shares | 10.0 |
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Common stock | 420 | EPS | $6.60 |
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Retained earnings | 200 | DPS | $2.00 |
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Total common equ. | $620 | Ending stock price | $52.80 |
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Total liab. & equity | $1,200 |
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Selected Additional Data for 2013 | |||||||||
Flextronics | Industry | Flextronics | Industry | ||||||
Op. costs/Sales | 90.0% | 88.0% | Total liability/Total assets | 48.3% | 36.7% | ||||
Depr./FA | 10.0% | 12.0% | Times interest earned | 3.8 | 8.9 | ||||
Cash/Sales | 1.0% | 1.0% | Return on assets (ROA) | 5.5% | 10.2% | ||||
Receivables/Sales | 14.0% | 11.0% | Profit margin (M) | 3.30% | 4.99% | ||||
Inventories/Sales | 20.0% | 15.0% | Sales/Assets | 1.67 | 2.04 | ||||
Fixed assets/Sales | 25.0% | 22.0% | Assets/Equity | 1.94 | 1.56 | ||||
Acc. pay. & accr. / Sales | 4.0% | 4.0% | Return on equity (ROE) | 10.6% | 16.1% | ||||
Tax rate | 40.0% | 40.0% | P/E ratio | 8.0 | 16.0 | ||||
ROIC | 8.0% | 12.5% | |||||||
NOPAT/Sales | 4.5% | 5.6% | |||||||
Total op. capital/Sales | 56.0% | 45.0% | |||||||
Note: Flextronics was operating at full capacity in 2013. Also, you may observe small differences in items like the ROE
when calculated in different ways. Any such differences are due to rounding, and they can be ignored.
a. Using Flextronicss data and its industry averages, how well run would you say Flextronics appears to be in comparison with other firms in its industry? What are its primary strengths and weaknesses? Be specific in your answer, and point to various ratios that support your position. Also, use the Du Pont equation as one part of your analysis.
Use the following table below answer the questions:
Actual | Forecast | ||||
Inputs | 2013 | 2014 | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 |
Sales growth rate: | 10% | 8% | 5% | 5% | |
Op. costs/Sales: | 90% | 90% | 90% | 90% | 90% |
Depr./FA | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% |
Cash/Sales: | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% |
Acct. rec. /Sales | 14% | 14% | 14% | 14% | 14% |
Inv./Sales: | 20% | 20% | 20% | 20% | 20% |
FA/Sales: | 25% | 25% | 25% | 25% | 25% |
AP & accr. / Sales: | 4% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 4% |
Tax rate: | 40% | 40% | 40% | 40% | 40% |
Rate on all debt | 8.0% | 8% | 8% | 8% | |
Div. growth rate: | 5% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% |
Target WACC | 9% |
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b. For each of the next four years, forecast the items in the above table.
c. Using the forecasted items in the section f, calculate for each of the next four years the net operating profit after taxes (NOPAT), net operating working capital, total operating capital, free cash flow (FCF).
d. What does the forecasted free cash flow in the first year imply about the need for external financing?
Assuming that FCF will continue to grow at the growth rate for the last year in the forecast horizon (Hint: 5%).
1. What is the terminal value at 2017?
2. What is the present value of the terminal value?
3. What is the present value of the forecasted FCF?
4. What is the current value of firm?
5. Using information from the 2013 financial statements, what is the current intrinsic stock price?
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