Question
For the project below, I was given a set of data. But I'm told to analyze it in 4 different ways. I am unsure how
For the project below, I was given a set of data. But I'm told to analyze it in 4 different ways. I am unsure how to perform the underlined version with the data I was given. I was thinking of using Regression model in data analysis in excel, but it doesn't give me all of the data I'm looking for. Could you help me to understand how to analyze the data in the way the project requires?
Quantitative Project
Project Description:
The purpose of this project is two-fold. The first is to outline the relationship between personal consumption and disposable income. The second is to provide a simple forecast of personal consumption.
Each data set provided includes quarterly data going from the second quarter of 1981 (1981:2) to the first quarter of 2021 (2021:1). The variables included are personal consumption (PCONS), disposable personal income (DPI) and trend (TREND). For the first portion of this project, you need to discuss the relationship between personal consumption and disposable income. You will want to include a discussion surrounding a simple linear regression and one that also includes trend. You will also want to consider an additional model that addresses any nonlinearity in DPI that might be useful. Only use the square, square root, reciprocal, and natural logarithm as the potential nonlinear transformations. Do not transform trend in this analysis but you may still include that variable, if you wish, in any of your work.
The second part of this project is to provide a simple forecast of personal consumption (PCONS) using the simple and quadratic trend models. You want to forecast PCONS for the next two quarters (2021:2 and 2021:3) so there is only a forecast horizon of two.
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