Question
For this question, use data from 03 March 2017 to 03 December 2018. On 03 December 2018, after the market close, your portfolio consisted of
For this question, use data from 03 March 2017 to 03 December 2018. On 03 December 2018, after the
market close, your portfolio consisted of 5 different stocks: CGC (Nasdaq), KHC (Nasdaq), PFE (NYSE),
MSFT (Nasdaq), and SNAP (NYSE). Here is the number of stocks of each company that you hold in your
portfolio:
Date: 03 Dec 2018 at close
Stock Number of stocks in portfolio
CGC 22,730
KHC 3,847
PFE 5,268
MSFT 4,125
SNAP 3,691
a) Using historical simulation approach, calculate 10-day 99% VaR and C-VaR
b) What would be your 10-day 99% VaR estimate if you incorporate a jump component of -5% for your
portfolio return every 2% of the time?
c) Back-test your estimate in b): how many times did your daily portfolio return was worse than your 1-
day 99% VaR estimate from b)?
d) Using EWMA approach, estimate daily annualized volatility of your portfolio return for tomorrow?
Use long-term variance as a first variance input for estimations
e) What is the difference between the optimal lambda you used in d) and the lambda suggested by JP
Morgan's RiskMetrics?
f) Using GARCH(1,1) approach, estimate daily annualized volatility of your portfolio return for
tomorrow?
Use long-term variance as a first variance input for estimations and optimize over alpha,
beta, and gamma
g) What is the absolute difference between your estimates in d) and f)?
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