Forecasting with the Parsimonious Method and Estimating Share Value Using the DCF Model Following are the income statement and balance sheet for Cisco Sytems for the year ended July 30, 2016.

Cisco Sytems Consolidated Statements of Income
Years Ended December ($ millions)	July 30, 2016	July 25, 2015
Revenue
Product	$37,254	$37,750
Service	11,993	11,411
Total revenue	49,247	49,161
Cost of sales
Product	14,161	15,377
Service	4,126	4,103
Total cost of sales	18,287	19,480
Gross margin	30,960	29,681
Operating expenses
Research and development	6,296	6,207
Sales and marketing	9,619	9,821
General and administrative	1,814	2,040
Amortization of purchased intangible assets	303	359
Restructuring and other charges	268	484
Total operating expenses	18,300	18,911
Operating income	12,660	10,770
Interest income	1,005	769
Interest expense	(676)	(566)
Other income (loss), net	(69)	228
Interest and other income (loss), net	260	431
Income before provision for income taxes	12,920	11,201
Provision for income taxes	2,181	2,220
Net income	$10,739	$8,981

Cisco Sytems Inc. Consolidated Balance Sheets
In millions, except par value	July 30, 2016	July 25, 2015
Assets
Current assets
Cash and cash equivalents	$7,631	$6,877
Investments	58,125	53,539
Accounts receivable, net of allowance for doubtful accounts of $249 at July 30, 2016 and $302 at July 25, 2015	5,847	5,344
Inventories	1,217	1,627
Financing receivables, net	4,272	4,491
Other current assets	1,627	1,490
Total current assets	78,719	73,368
Property and equipment, net	3,506	3,332
Financing receivables, net	4,158	3,858
Goodwill	26,625	24,469
Purchased intangible assets, net	2,501	2,376
Deferred tax assets	4,299	4,454
Other assets	1,844	1,516
Total assets	$121,652	$113,373
Liabilities
Current liabilities
Short-term debt	$4,160	$3,897
Accounts payable	1,056	1,104
Income taxes payable	517	62
Accrued compensation	2,951	3,049
Deferred revenue	10,155	9,824
Other current liabilities	6,072	5,476
Total current liabilities	24,911	23,412
Long-term debt	24,483	21,457
Income taxes payable	925	1,876
Deferred revenue	6,317	5,359
Other long-term liabilities	1,431	1,562
Total liabilities	58,067	53,666
Cisco shareholders' equity Preferred stock, no par value: 5 shaes authorized; none issued and outstanding	--	--
Common stock and additional paid-in capital, $0.001 par value: 20,000 shares authorized; 5,029 and 5,085 shares issued and outstanding at July 30, 2016 and July 25, 2015, respectively	44,516	43,592
Retained earnings	19,396	16,045
Accumulated other comprehensive income (loss)	(326)	61
Total Cisco shareholders' equity	63,586	59,698
Noncontrolling interests	(1)	9
Total equity	63,585	59,707
Total liabilities and equity	$121,652	$113,373

(a) Compute net operating assets (NOA) for 2016. NOA = $Answer (b) Compute net operating profit after tax (NOPAT) for 2016, assuming a federal and state legal tax rate of 37%.(Round your answer to the nearest whole number.) 2016 NOPAT = $Answer (c) Forecast Cisco's sales, NOPAT, and NOA for years 2017 through 2020 and the terminal period using the following assumptions:

Sales growth 2017	1%
Sales growth 2018-2020	2%
Terminal growth	1%
Net operating profit margin	21.5%
Net operating asset turnover	1.86

CSCO	Reported	Forecast Horizon				Terminal
($ millions)	2016	2017 Est.	2018 Est.	2019 Est.	2020 Est.	Period
Sales (rounded two decimal places)	$Answer	$Answer	$Answer	$Answer	$Answer	$Answer
Sales (rounded nearest whole number)	Answer	Answer	Answer	Answer	Answer	Answer
NOPAT (rounded nearest whole number)*	Answer	Answer	Answer	Answer	Answer	Answer
NOA (rounded nearest whole number)*	Answer	Answer	Answer	Answer	Answer	Answer

* Use sales rounded to nearest whole number for this calculation.

(d) Estimate the value of a share of Cisco common stock using the discounted cash flow (DCF) model as of July 30, 2016; assume a discount rate (WACC) of 10%, common shares outstanding of 5,029 million, and net nonoperating obligations (NNO) of $(37,113) million (NNO is negative which means that Cisco has net nonoperating investments).

Use your rounded answers for subsequent calculations.

Do not use negative signs with any of your answers below.

CSCO	Reported	Forecast Horizon				Terminal
($ millions)	2016	2017 Est.	2018 Est.	2019 Est.	2020 Est.	Period
DCF Model
Increase in NOA		$Answer	$Answer	$Answer	$Answer	$Answer
FCFF (NOPAT - Increase in NOA)		Answer	Answer	Answer	Answer	Answer
Discount factor	(rounded 5 decimal places)	Answer	Answer	Answer	Answer
Present value of horizon FCFF	(rounded to nearest whole number)	Answer	Answer	Answer	Answer
Cum. present value of horizon FCFF	$Answer	(rounded to nearest whole number)
Present value of terminal FCFF	Answer	(rounded to nearest whole number)
Total firm value	Answer	(rounded to nearest whole number)
NNO	Answer
NCI	Answer
Firm equity value	$Answer	(rounded to nearest whole number)
Shares outstanding (millions)	Answer	(rounded to nearest whole number)
Stock price per share	$Answer	(rounded to two decimal places)

(e) Cisco stock closed at $31.47 on Septemeber 8, 2016, the date the Form 10-K was filed with the SEC. How does your valuation estimate compare with this closing price? What do you believe are some reasons for the difference? What investment decision is suggested from your results? (Select all that apply) Answeryesno Our stock price estimate is higher than the CSCO market price as of September 8, 2016, indicating that we believe the stock is undervalued. Answeryesno Stock prices are a function of expected NOPAT and NOA, as well as the WACC discount rate. Answeryesno Our stock price estimate is very close to the CSCO market price as of September 8, 2016, indicating we believe that the stock is appropriately priced. Answeryesno Our lower stock price estimate may be due to more optimistic forecasts or a lower discount rate compared to other investors' and analysts model assumptions.