Question
Fosbuvir Project The company considers development of a new drug to treat Hepatitis C, code-named the Fosbuvir Project. Fosbeck has already spent $420 M on
Fosbuvir Project The company considers development of a new drug to treat Hepatitis C, code-named the Fosbuvir Project. Fosbeck has already spent $420 M on preliminary research for drug development and it will need another $600 M on development this year (tax deductible) and $2 B in CapEx next year (these cash outlays are not part of the cash flows that you have estimated earlier, because this project is not approved yet). Capital expenditures will be depreciated over 10 years using straight line depreciation. The patent for the drug is pending and the company expects to receive an FDA approval and start selling the drug in two years. Its expected revenues in the first year of sales are $1 B with subsequent annual growth of 50% over the next three years, after which the sales will be stable for another 7 years. After that the drug will lose the patent protection and its manufacturing is expected to stop. The CoGS are estimated to be 20% of revenues and SG&A expenses are $2 B a year if the drug is produced and zero otherwise. NPV and IRR Please estimate the NPV and IRR of the Fosbuvir Project, using the companys WACC of 12%.
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