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Fourteen of the major pundits/outlets provided race ratings for Colorado, and a supermajority of them (nine to be exact) said that Colorado was NOT
Fourteen of the major pundits/outlets provided race ratings for Colorado, and a supermajority of them (nine to be exact) said that Colorado was NOT a safe bet for Biden. In this Problem, you will use hypothesis testing to evaluate the effectiveness of pundits' predictions for the 2020 Presidential Election in Colorado. By 3 November 2020, the polling average for the State of Colorado was Biden ahead of Trump by 12.4%. For the purposes of this Problem, we will use the polling average that would result in 562 and 30. As there were ten quality polls in this average, we will take n = 10. Assume that being above 500 results in a Biden win with all other outcomes resulting in a Trump win. Suppose that 99.99% confidence or higher is high enough to definitively state that Colorado is a safe bet for Biden (ie. "Safe Biden"). Hence, what would our two hypotheses be? OA HO:> 500 HA: 500 OB.H0:500 HA:>500 OCHO0.5 HA: >0.5 OD HO>0.5 HA:0.5
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