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From the same Texas Department of Insurance data on closed claims for medical malpractice liability insurance referred to in Problem 1, we can estimate the

From the same Texas Department of Insurance data on closed claims for medical malpractice liability insurance referred to in Problem 1, we can estimate the number of claims in each year of injury that will be closed in the next 16 years. We obtain the following data. Here the estimated dollars per claim for each year have been adjusted to 2007 dollars to account for inflation, so the values are all compatible. Texas was said to have had a medical malpractice liability crisis starting in about 1998 and continuing until the legislature passed tort reforms effective in September 2003, which put caps on certain noneconomic damage awards. During this period premiums increased greatly and doctors left high-risk specialties such as emergency room service and delivering babies, and left high-risk geographical areas as well causing shortages in doctors in certain locations. The data from 1994 until 2001 is the following:

Injury year

Estimated # claims

Estimated $ per claim

1994

1021

$415,326.26

1995

1087

$448,871.57

1996

1184

$477,333.66

1997

1291

$490,215.19

1998

1191

$516,696.63

1999

1098

$587,233.93

2000

1055

$536,983.82

2001

1110

$403,504.39

  1. Calculate the mean or average number of claims per year for medical malpractice insurance in Texas over the four-year period 19941997.
  2. Calculate the mean or average number of claims per year for medical malpractice insurance in Texas over the four-year period 19982001.
  3. Calculate the mean or average dollar value per claim per year for medical malpractice insurance in Texas over the four-year period 19941997 (in 2009 dollars).
  4. Calculate the mean or average dollar value per claim per year for medical malpractice insurance in Texas over the four-year period 19982001 (in 2009 dollars).
  5. Looking at your results from (a) to (e), do you think there is any evidence to support the conclusion that costs were rising for insurers, justifying the rise in premiums?

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