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Game Comp Att Yds TD Int Row Game Comp Att Yds TD Int 1 37 54 450 2 1 13 12 19 39 273 1
Game | Comp | Att | Yds | TD | Int | Row | Game | Comp | Att | Yds | TD | Int | ||
1 | 37 | 54 | 450 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 12 | 19 | 39 | 273 | 1 | 0 | ||
2 | 24 | 36 | 273 | 4 | 0 | 8 | 7 | 31 | 42 | 338 | 1 | 0 | ||
3 | 19 | 38 | 238 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 11 | 22 | 39 | 185 | 2 | 1 | ||
4 | 28 | 39 | 285 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 13 | 21 | 32 | 224 | 1 | 3 | ||
5 | 21 | 37 | 226 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 13 | 21 | 32 | 224 | 1 | 3 | ||
6 | 30 | 40 | 371 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 5 | 21 | 37 | 226 | 0 | 1 | ||
7 | 31 | 42 | 338 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 11 | 22 | 39 | 185 | 2 | 1 | ||
8 | 21 | 30 | 281 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 28 | 39 | 285 | 0 | 0 | ||
9 | 25 | 35 | 284 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 21 | 37 | 226 | 0 | 1 | ||
10 | 19 | 37 | 232 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 11 | 22 | 39 | 185 | 2 | 1 | ||
11 | 22 | 39 | 185 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 8 | 21 | 30 | 281 | 0 | 1 | ||
12 | 19 | 39 | 273 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 16 | 29 | 44 | 265 | 2 | 0 | ||
13 | 21 | 32 | 224 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 11 | 22 | 39 | 185 | 2 | 1 | ||
14 | 34 | 49 | 356 | 3 | 0 | 14 | 13 | 21 | 32 | 224 | 1 | 3 | ||
15 | 27 | 35 | 300 | 2 | 0 | 15 | 14 | 34 | 49 | 356 | 3 | 0 | ||
16 | 29 | 44 | 265 | 2 | 0 | 11 | 10 | 19 | 37 | 232 | 0 | 2 | ||
Total | 407 | 626 | 4581 | 26 | 11 | Total | 374 | 606 | 3894 | 18 | 18 | |||
Rating(%) | 65.02 | Rating(%) | 61.72 | |||||||||||
Talbe 1 | Table 2 | |||||||||||||
Aspeadsheet of Matt Ryan's game-by-game results | A simulated season for Matt Ryan | |||||||||||||
Note. Comp = Passes completed; Att = Passes attempted; Yds = Yards gained by passing; Int = Interceptions thrown | ||||||||||||||
Rating(%) = Percentage of passes completed | ||||||||||||||
In this Practice, we will find out the true interval of Ryan's percentage of passes completed (Rating %) in the 2020 season by using the margin of error. (p. 97-99, 112) | ||||||||||||||
Q1. First, fill in the "Row" column in Table 2 by using the Excel command "=RANDBETWEEN". We want to choose a random integer from 2 to 17. So, if you complete the command correctly, every time you run it, the cell will select a random number from 2 to 17. This is just a number but does not mean a row number. However, this random number will help to simulate Ryan's actual stats as the guideline of row number. Hint. You can use the auto-fill function, but all cells will be the same. | ||||||||||||||
Q2. Next, fill in the simulated "Game" column (from I2 to I17) in Table 2 by using the Excel command "=INDIRECT". The original "Game" in Table 1 is from A2 to A17. For using the command "=INDIRECT", you need a "reference letter" for a column and a "cell location" for a random number of a row. As the example of the textbook, the command "=INDIRECT("B"&$H2)" means "finding the number on the location of B column and some row based on the random number in cell H2." Hint. You can use the auto-fill function. The "cell location" will be changed, but the "reference letter" will be maintained. | ||||||||||||||
Q3. Please fill in the other columns in Table 2 bu using the Excel command "=INDIRECT". Hint. The "reference letter" in the command should be matched with correct column in Table 1. | ||||||||||||||
Q4. Please fill in the total and rating(%) in Table 2 by using the Excel command (=SUM) and formula (=Comp/Att*100). | ||||||||||||||
Q5. Now, we are ready to simulate the 2020 season of Ryan's game-by-game results. To run the simulation, we will use "Calculation Options" in the top menu, Formulas - Calculation Options - Automatic, as the screenshot below. Every time you click the 'Automatic' button (or you can simply double-click any cell and click another cell), you can see all numbers of Table 2 will be calculated again. First, please fill in the "Simulated Rating" row in Table 3 manually by clicking the 'Automatic' button ten times. Next, using the numbers in the "Simulated Rating" row, calculated standard deviation (SD) in cell B47. Youmust use "=STDEV.S" Excel command. Lastly, the margin of error is twice the standard deviation. Fill in cell B48 by using the Excel formula. | ||||||||||||||
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1st | 2nd | 3rd | 4th | 5th | 6th | 7th | 8th | 9th | 10th | |||||
Simulated Rating (%) | 63.55 | 65.22 | 65.83 | 64.98 | 65.28 | 59.25 | 64.19 | 66.29 | 65.89 | 64.63 | ||||
Standard Deviation (SD) of the 10 simulations | 2.023174 | |||||||||||||
Margin of Error (SD*2) | 4.046348 | |||||||||||||
Table 3 | ||||||||||||||
A simulated of Ryan's percentage of passes completed and the margin of error | ||||||||||||||
Q6. As you can see in Table 1, the actual value of Ryan's percentage of passes completed (Rating) is 65.02% in the 2020 season. Finally, according to the simulations, what is the variability in Ryan's percentage of passes completed (Rating) values by the interval? Hint. The answer should be an interval (A, B) | ||||||||||||||
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