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Given: historical data for nursing hours on a unit show a seasonal variation about a straight-line trend, with nursing hours increasing by an average of

Given: historical data for nursing hours on a unit show a seasonal variation about a straight-line trend, with nursing hours increasing by an average of 5% per year; actual nursing hours during the month of June tend to fall an average of 5% above the trend line, while actual nursing hours during the month of December tend to fall an average of 5% below the trend line; the number of nursing hours given by linear regression for December 2011 is 6000. What is the forecast number of nursing hours in December 2012?

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5985

6000

6300

6615

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