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Given: Investment I 0 = PV(I 1 ) = $20M The present value of investment is assumed to be $20 million regardless of when investment

Given:

Investment I0 = PV(I1) = $20M

The present value of investment is assumed to be $20 million regardless of when investment is made.

  • Price of oil (Uncertain)
  • P = $15 or $25 with equal probability
  • Variable production cost V = $8 per barrel
  • E[production] = Q = 200,000 barrels/year
  • Discount rate I = 10%
  • Calculate:
    • NPV (invest today), NPV (wait 1 year), & compare

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