Given the actual demand for heart transplant surgery at a local hospital from year 1 to year 6:

Actual Demand	45	50	52	56	58	?

The current year is year 6. The director of medical service predicted 6 years ago that the predicted demand in year 1 would be 41 surgeries. Use exponential smoothing model with a smoothing constant of 0.60. What is the predicted demand for year 4? Use 1 dec pl.

Keep your written work.

Select one:

a. 43.4 surgeriesb. 61.4 surgeriesc. 50.2 surgeriesd. 56.4 surgeriese. 47.4 surgeries