Question
Given the attached data. Answer the following questions using an initial alpha value of 0.2. t At 1 7813 2 12005 3 8217 4 7770
Given the attached data. Answer the following questions using an initial alpha value of 0.2.
t | At |
1 | 7813 |
2 | 12005 |
3 | 8217 |
4 | 7770 |
5 | 11093 |
6 | 8803 |
7 | 13032 |
8 | 5698 |
9 | 6184 |
10 | 12736 |
11 | 3642 |
12 | 7118 |
13 | 3192 |
14 | 4039 |
15 | 9537 |
16 | 9625 |
17 | 8381 |
18 | 3723 |
19 | 2306 |
20 | 4177 |
21 | 5867 |
22 | 9968 |
23 | 3046 |
24 | 5477 |
25 | 9814 |
26 | 6671 |
27 | 11788 |
28 | 9134 |
29 | 6455 |
30 | 5173 |
31 | 8810 |
32 | 5800 |
33 | 4868 |
34 | 9972 |
35 | 7315 |
36 | 7029 |
37 | 2417 |
38 | 7417 |
39 | 7775 |
40 | 10249 |
41 | 3875 |
42 | 11276 |
43 | 5393 |
44 | 8704 |
45 | 6944 |
46 | 6919 |
47 | 2990 |
48 | 2872 |
49 | 2573 |
50 | 6716 |
1. Compute your forecast for period 51.
The potential answers are:
A: 5417.68 units.
B: 8672.65 units.
C: 5901.35 units.
D: 5617.06 units.
E: 5663.93 units.
2. Compute the MAD value for period 50.
The potential answers are:
A: 3339.95 units.
B: 2469.15 units.
C: 2127.42 units.
D: 3523.23 units.
E: 2723.72 units.
3. Compute standard deviation of forecast for period 51.
The potential answers are:
A: 3086.43 units.
B: 4823.98 units.
C: 2659.28 units.
D: 4404.04 units.
E: 3404.66 units.
4. Compute the best alpha value to three decimal points.
The potential answers are:
A: 0.101.
B: 0.046.
C: 0.185.
D: 0.001.
E: 0.217.
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