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Harritz Consultants, a famous financial analysis, has provided probability estimates for the four potential economic states for the coming year. The probability of a boom

Harritz Consultants, a famous financial analysis, has provided probability estimates for the four potential economic states for the coming year. The probability of a boom economy 10 percent, stable growth economy 15 percent, stagnant economy 50 percent and recession 25 percent. Below are the estimated returns of the individual investments for the coming year:

Investment

Forecasted returns for each economy (%)

Boom

Stable Growth

Stagnant

Recession

Share

25

12

4

-12

Corporate Bond

9

7

5

3

Government Bond

8

6

4

2

If Harritz is a risk averse investor, which investment should he choose? (Show your calculation) (

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