Question
Harritz Consultants, a famous financial analysis, has provided probability estimates for the four potential economic states for the coming year. The probability of a boom
Harritz Consultants, a famous financial analysis, has provided probability estimates for the four potential economic states for the coming year. The probability of a boom economy 10 percent, stable growth economy 15 percent, stagnant economy 50 percent and recession 25 percent. Below are the estimated returns of the individual investments for the coming year:
Investment | Forecasted returns for each economy (%) | |||
Boom | Stable Growth | Stagnant | Recession | |
Share | 25 | 12 | 4 | -12 |
Corporate Bond | 9 | 7 | 5 | 3 |
Government Bond | 8 | 6 | 4 | 2 |
If Harritz is a risk averse investor, which investment should he choose? (Show your calculation) (
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