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hat metrics would you use to answer the following questions and why? The bond markets are pricing in the risk of recession in the next

hat metrics would you use to answer the following questions and why?

The bond markets are pricing in the risk of recession in the next 1-3 months?

The equity markets are pricing in the risk of recession over the same time horizon?

Based on the current data (through November 4), how can we answer questions 1 and 2 above? Illustrate your answers using specific data, noting the source of data and its frequency. How much confidence do you feel in using the metrics you selected to answer questions 1 and 2?

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