HCB, Inc. is considering investing in a new 'We're # 1' foam hand cutting facility. If UT has a successful year, then demand will be high and cash flows will be $100,000 per year for 3 years starting in Year 1. If UT has a bad year, then demand will be low and cash flows will be $37,000 per year for 3 years starting in Year 1. The probability of UT having a good year and demand being high is 80% and the probability of a bad year and low demand is 20%. It will cost $150,000 to purchase the equipment. HCB's WACC is 10%. The risk-free rate is 6%.

If HCB waits a year to invest, it will know which demand scenario is going to occur and therefore which cash flows will occur. These cash flows will occur in Years 2, 3, and 4. HCB will only invest in Year 1 if it is optimal to do so. This is an investment timing option.

Suppose HCB wants to evaluate the investment timing option above with a financial option. Find the value of P, the underlying security or asset, for use in the Black-Scholes Option Pricing Model. Enter your answer as dollars, rounded to the nearest dollar. (do not enter the $ sign!).