Health Services and Nursing Scenario Topic 1 Scenario 1 Year 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Predicting Expected Medicare Payers Review data of the expected payers that used Medicare 2003 to 2014. Predict the percentage of expected payers that will use Medicare in 2018. County Humbolt Humbolt Humbolt Humbolt Humbolt Humbolt Humbolt Humbolt Humbolt Humbolt Humbolt Humbolt Medicare Zip Code payers 90001 35612 90001 37412 90001 39841 90001 40123 90001 43122 90001 44125 90001 51229 90001 59748 90001 57008 90001 56727 90001 57985 90001 63123 Security and Criminal Justice Scenario Topic 2 Predicting Total US correctional population Review the data on persons supervised by U.S. adult correctional systems by correctional Scenario 2 status. Predict the number of the United States population that will be supervised by U.S. adult correctional system in 2018. Year Total US correctional population Probation Parole 2000 6,467,800 3,839,400 725,500 2001 6,584,900 3,934,500 731,100 2002 6,730,900 3,995,000 753,100 2003 6,886,800 4,073,800 773,500 2004 6,997,000 4,140,400 775,900 2005 7,055,600 4,162,300 784,400 2006 7,199,700 4,236,800 798,200 2007 7,339,600 4,293,000 826,100 2008 7,313,600 4,270,100 828,200 2009 7,235,200 4,196,200 824,100 2010 7,086,500 4,053,600 840,700 2011 6,989,200 3,969,400 854,600 2012 6,945,100 3,940,800 857,800 2013 6,903,200 3,910,600 855,200 2014 6,851,000 3,864,100 856,900 Humanities and Sciences Scenario Topic 3 Scenario 3 Year Yearly Tuition 2015 2014 2013 2012 2011 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 $29,450 $24,444 $20,288 $17,245 $16,412 $15,984 $8,618 $7,153 $5,937 $14,658 $13,549 $12,435 Predicted College Tuition and Fees Review college data of the yearly tuition & fees. Predict the cost of yearly tuition and fees in 2018. Books & Living Supplies Costs $1,250 $1,038 $861 $732 $625 $600 $1,200 $996 $827 $703 $699 $612 $12,400 $10,292 $8,542 $7,261 $6,532 $5,899 $15,682 $13,016 $10,803 $9,183 $5,771 $5,256 Yearly Tuition & Fees $44,190 $36,679 $30,442 $25,876 $24,112 $22,984 $25,770 $21,389 $17,753 $24,702 $20,142 $18,415 nario y tuition and fees in 2018. Social Sciences Scenario Topic 4 Predicting Teen Communication Preferences Review the data on communication preferences with teens. Predict how many high-school teens will Scenario 4 prefer to use face-to-face communication in 2018. Number School Level of Teens Year Communication Preference Age 2000 2001 Face to Face Face to Face Teen Teen HS HS 87 98 2002 Face to Face Teen HS 86 2003 Face to Face Teen HS 76 2004 Face to Face Teen HS 2005 Face to Face Teen HS 55 49 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Face to Face Face to Face Face to Face Face to Face Face to Face Face to Face Face to Face Face to Face Face to Face Face to Face Teen Teen Teen Teen Teen Teen Teen Teen Teen Teen HS HS HS HS HS HS HS HS HS HS 50 43 42 36 23 30 15 13 8 5 Logarithmic Regression 120 100 Logarithmic Regression 120 100 80 Number of Teens f(x) = -12105.4377868885 ln(x) + 92102.2804203232 R = 0.9473014584 60 40 20 0 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 Year 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 ario edict how many high-school teens will Business Scenario Topic 5 Scenario 5 Year 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Predicting Tires Purchased Review the yearly data involving tires purchased at a tire shop with declining business. Predict how m tires will need to be in stock to have available for the customers in 2018. Tires Wheels Lugnuts Purchased Purchased Purchased 20,478 20,018 28,592 15,478 18,274 9,967 11,148 13,086 11,148 17,916 14,659 14,659 13,390 9,697 8,080 16,146 25,698 18,425 18,456 32,237 15,132 12,570 21,404 9,173 16,243 14,993 7,184 15,628 18,346 9,852 18,063 14,193 6,999 7,122 3,052 3,713 6,649 3,740 3,586 9,217 4,748 3,994 6,235 3,662 2,733 16,542 12,426 8,145 12,459 8,743 11,405 9,322 5,243 6,033 8,704 4,687 4,491 9,904 4,661 5,028 ning business. Predict how many Education Scenario Topic 6 Scenario 6 Predicting SAT Test Scores Review the data on the average SAT scores of college-bound seniors from 2002-2015. Predict the av 2018. Average SAT-Mathematics of college-bound seniors 2002 2003 2004 Year All students Average White Black Mexican American Puerto Rican Other Hispanic Asian/Pacific Islander American Indian/Alaska Native 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 540 530 426 460 566 529 531 426 458 451 530 533 427 457 451 522 534 426 457 453 531 531 427 458 452 523 536 431 463 457 525 536 429 465 456 530 534 429 466 454 467 465 464 464 465 469 463 463 565 566 569 575 577 580 578 578 481 479 483 482 488 493 494 494 ario 2002-2015. Predict the average SAT scores of college-bound seniors in 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 525 537 426 463 453 520 536 426 463 450 519 536 428 467 452 516 535 427 466 452 518 536 428 465 452 514 534 429 464 453 461 461 462 462 461 461 581 587 591 595 595 597 491 493 492 488 489 486