Question
Heinz: Cost of Capital Income Statement (in thousands) 2008 2009 2010 Revenue 9,885,556 10,011,331 10,494,983 Cost of Goods sold 6,233,420 6,442,075 6,700,677 Gross Profit 3,652,136
Heinz: Cost of Capital | |||
Income Statement (in thousands) | |||
2008 | 2009 | 2010 | |
Revenue | 9,885,556 | 10,011,331 | 10,494,983 |
Cost of Goods sold | 6,233,420 | 6,442,075 | 6,700,677 |
Gross Profit | 3,652,136 | 3,569,256 | 3,794,306 |
SG&A expense | 2,081,801 | 2,066,810 | 2,235,078 |
Operating Income | 1,570,335 | 1,502,446 | 1,559,228 |
Interest Expense | 323,289 | 275,485 | 250,574 |
Other income (expense) | (16,283) | 92,922 | (18,200) |
Income before taxes | 1,230,763 | 1,319,883 | 1,290,454 |
Income taxes | 372,587 | 375,483 | 358,514 |
Net income after taxes | 858,176 | 944,400 | 931,940 |
Adjustments to net income | (13,251) | (21,328) | (67,048) |
Net income | 844,925 | 923,072 | 864,892 |
Diluted EPS | 2.61 | 2.89 | 2.71 |
Dividends per share | 1.52 | 1.66 | 1.68 |
Balance Sheet (in thousands) |
| ||
2008 | 2009 | 2010 | |
Cash | 617,687 | 373,145 | 483,253 |
Net receivables | 1,161,481 | 1,171,797 | 1,045,338 |
Inventories | 1,378,216 | 1,237,613 | 1,249,127 |
Other Current assets | 168,182 | 162,466 | 273,407 |
Total current assets | 3,325,566 | 2,945,021 | 3,051,125 |
Net fixed assets | 2,104,713 | 1,978,302 | 2,091,796 |
Other noncurrent assets | 5,134,764 | 4,740,861 | 4,932,790 |
Total assets | 10,565,043 | 9,664,184 | 10,075,711 |
Accounts Payable | 1,247,479 | 1,113,307 | 1,129,514 |
Short term debt | 124,290 | 61,297 | 43,853 |
Current portion of long-term debt | 328,418 | 4,341 | 15,167 |
Other current liabilities | 969,873 | 883,901 | 986,825 |
Total current liabilities | 2,670,060 | 2,062,846 | 2,175,359 |
Long term debt | 4,730,946 | 5,076,186 | 4,559,152 |
Other noncurrent liabilities | 1,276,217 | 1,246,047 | 1,392,704 |
6,007,163 | 6,322,233 | 5,951,856 | |
Equity | 1,887,820 | 1,279,105 | 1,948,496 |
Total liabilities and Equity | 10,565,043 | 9,664,184 | 10,075,711 |
Shares outstanding (millions) | 311.45 | 314.86 | 317.69 |
Heinz Capital Market Prices of Typical Issues | |||
2008 | 2009 | 2010 | |
Heinz Stock Price | $47.00 | $34.42 | $46.87 |
Bond Price: 6.750% coupon, semiannual bond due 3/15/32 (BBB rated) | 91.4 | 1116.9 | |
Bond Price: 6.625% coupon, semiannual bond due 10/15/12 (BBB rated) | 116.5 | 113.7 | |
1 + yield | 97.57 | 1,192.29 | |
1 + yield | 124.22 | 121.23 | |
Total of 1+yield | 221.79 | 1,313.52 | |
Estimated loss rate | 60% | 60% | |
Default rate BBB rated Average (2010) | 0.5% | ||
Default rate BBB rated Recession (2009) | 3% | ||
Debt cost of capital | 4.95% | 6% | |
Expected default | 4.83 | 76.90 | |
Expected default | 6.15 | 7.82 | |
Expected rate of return on bonds less default | 92.74 | 1,115.39 | |
Expected rate of return on bonds less default | 118.07 | 113.41 | |
Total Debt cost of capital | 210.81 | 1,228.80 | |
Dividends per Heinz | 0.42 | 0.45 | |
Standard deviation of Heinz | |||
Correlation of Heinz to market | |||
Standard deviation of Market | |||
Beta | |||
Comparable Firm Data | |||
Financial Summary | |||
Kraft | Cambell Soup | Del Monte | |
Revenues ($ Million) | 40,386 | 7,589 | 3,739 |
Book Value of equity ($ Million) | 25,972 | 728 | 1,827 |
Book Value of debt ($ Million) | 18,990 | 2,642 | 1,290 |
Total Debt/Equity | 44,962 | 3,370 | 3,117 |
Tax rate | 28% | 28% | 28% |
WACC | 0.88 | 0.78 | 0.88 |
Market Data | |||
Beta | 0.58 | 0.32 | 0.72 |
Shares outstanding ($ Millions) | 1,735 | 363 | 182 |
Share price (dollars as of close April 30, 2010) | 29.9 | 35.64 | 15.11 |
Typical Standard & Poors bond rating | BBB- | A | BB |
Representative yeild on long-term debt | 5.12% | 4.36% | 6.19% |
1. What is the estimate for Heinz beta at the start of fiscal year 2010? Does the level of beta make sense (hint: What does Heinz make? Do its sales and cash flows vary significantly relative to the market?)
2. What is your best estimate of Heinz equity cost of capital, Re, at the start of fiscal year 2010? Other than beta, what two other variables do you need to consider calculating Re?
3. What were the yield-to-maturity on the two representative outstanding Heinz debt issues as of the end of April 2010? You will use this information to calculate Heinz cost of debt, Rd.
4. What was the WACC for Heinz at the start of fiscal year 2010? Other than Re and Rd, what other variables go into the calculation of WACC? How did you calculate them?
5. Finally, how does WACC for Heinz's compare to some of its competitors, Kraft Foods, Campbell Soup Company, and Del Monte Foods? Does this comparison make you more confident in your estimates?
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