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Herbert Corporation is a non-dividend-paying stock that is currently priced at $82. An analyst has determined that the annual standard deviation of returns on Herbert

Herbert Corporation is a non-dividend-paying stock that is currently priced at $82. An analyst has determined that the annual standard deviation of returns on Herbert stock is 31% and that the annual risk-free interest rate on a continuously compounded basis is 3.5%. What is the risk-neutral probability of an up movement (P) using a two-step binomial model to value an 18-month option? Do not round intermediate calculations.

A.

0.56

B.

0.52

C.

0.48

D.

0.44

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