Question
Hey there, I need help with the two questions f. and g. John Thompson, CEO of NewVenture Inc., seeks to raise $5 million in equity
Hey there, I need help with the two questions f. and g.
John Thompson, CEO of NewVenture Inc., seeks to raise $5 million in equity for his
early stage venture in January 2016. NewVenture is a subscription-based software
company that has experienced 75% revenue growth over the last year. The company
generated $2.5 million of revenue in 2015, with operating loss of ($450,000).
Thompson projects that NewVenture will achieve $30 million in revenue by 2020,
followed by 5 years of 35% revenue growth and 3% growth thereafter. He also
estimates that the company will become profitable in 2017, with EBIAT margins of
about 1% on average over the next 5 years, growing over time to an average of 5% in
years 6-10 and 10% thereafter. Asset intensity is projected to remain at its current -
20%.
a. Samantha Jones of Gorsuch Capital is considering an investment in January
2016. Her experience with comparable 'Software as a Service' (SaaS) startups
suggests that NewVenture could exit in December 2020 with a 4X to 6X Priceto-
Sales multiple. Given this, what is her projected exit value for NewVenture in
2020?
b. Use the 3 stage model to estimate the value of NewVenture in 2020, assuming
that the startup meets the projections made by Thompson. Does the multiple
range assumed by Samantha Jones make sense given the projected cash flows
from NewVenture?
c. How should a forecast of lower growth or higher asset intensity relative to other
firms in the same industry impact her projected multiple?
d. What share of the company will she require in January 2016 if her annual
required rate of return is 50% and she anticipates an exit in December 2020 of
$150 million? What is the implied pre- and post-money valuation if she invests
on those terms?
e. The company has 1,000,000 shares outstanding before the investment. How
many new shares should she purchase, and at what share price? Assume the
investment is in standard convertible preferred stock with no dividends and a
conversion rate to common of 1:1.
Samantha Jones believes Thompson will have to grant generous stock options in
addition to the salaries projected in his business plan. From experience, she thinks
management should have the ability to own at least 15% share of the company in the
form of options by the end of year 5.
f. What share of the company should Samantha insist on today if an option pool is
created after her investment and her rate of return is 50%?
g. What share of the company should she insist on if the option pool is allocated
before her investment?
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