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Hi. I selected a. on this. Just wanting confirmation thanks. A person believes that it almost always rains on national holidays in the summer, yet

Hi. I selected a. on this. Just wanting confirmation thanks.

A person believes that it almost always rains on national holidays in the summer, yet statistical evidence in the region where they live suggests that it rains on only 20% of national holidays. This belief is most likely to be a result of:

Select one:

a. ease of recall not being associated with the true rate at which the event occurs

b. anchoring and under-adjustment causing them to over-estimate the probability of conjunctive events

c. ignoring regression to the mean

d. expecting chance to be self-correcting

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