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High Roller Properties is considering building a new casino at a cost of $10.0 million. The after-tax cash flows the casino generates will depend on

High Roller Properties is considering building a new casino at a cost of $10.0 million. The after-tax cash flows the casino generates will depend on whether the state imposes a new income tax, and there is a 50-50 chance the tax will pass. The company has a choice to continue with the project or abandon the project. The following are the estimated NPVs under each scenario. Calculate the expected NPV of the project without the abandonment option and with the abandonment option. What is the value of the abandonment option?

Probability

NPV

Without Abandonment Option

No Tax

40%

4870

New Tax

60%

-4100

With Abandonment Option

No Tax

40%

4870

New Tax

60%

-3750

$945

$560

$175

($175)

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