Question
Home Co, a US company making small kitchen appliances, imports plastics from Mexico. Home Co makes an order for next year for plastics, for which
- Home Co, a US company making small kitchen appliances, imports plastics from Mexico. Home Co makes an order for next year for plastics, for which it will have to make a payment of MXN150 mn in 1 year. Casas finance manager is worried about Mexican Pesos (MXP) because it can be very volatile due to problems in the economy, so he decides to hedge the payable.
He talks to the banks and collects the following information on potential hedging possibilities:
1-year borrowing rate in US$= 3%
1-year deposit rate in US$=1%
1-year borrowing rate in MXN=6%
1-year deposit rate in MXN=4%
Spot rate of MXN= $0.045
1-year forward rate of USMXN=$0.05
Future spot rate of MXN (1-year later)= $0.03 with 70% probability
Future spot rate of MXN (1-year later)=$0.04 with 20% probability
Future spot rate of MXN (1-year later)=$0.05 with 10% probability
Strike price of a 1-year call option = $0.04, premium = $0.005 (per dollar)
Strike price of a 1-year put option = $0.05 , premium= $0.005 (per dollar)
A) By using the relevant information above, calculate the cost of hedging for each of the 3 methods (forward hedge, money market hedge or option hedge) to Casa Co. Which one should the company use, why?
B) Would Casa be better off if it did not make the hedge?
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