Question
I am stuck with part c There are two bags. The first bag contains four mangos and two apples; the second bag contains four mangos
I am stuck with part c
There are two bags. The first bag contains four mangos and two apples; the second bag contains four mangos and four apples. We also have a biased coin, which shows "heads" with probability 0.7 and "tails" with probability 0.3. If the coin shows "heads", we pick a fruit at random from bag 1; otherwise we pick a fruit at random from bag 2.
(a) Your friend flips the coin (you cannot see the result) and picks a fruit at random from the corresponding bag. What is the probability that the fruit is a mango.
(b)If your friend presented you a mango, what is the probability that the mango was picked from bag 2?
(c) This time, your friend picks 3 fruits one by one. The picked fruit is put back into its corresponding bag before picking the next fruit. The first fruit is picked in the same way as in (a) and (b). For the second fruit, your friend flips the coin. If the coin lands "heads", a fruit is picked at random from the same bag that was previously picked from; otherwise a fruit is picked at random from the other bag. Your friend repeats this process in the third choice. If your friend picked three apples, what is the probability that those apples were only picked from bag 1?
Step by Step Solution
There are 3 Steps involved in it
Step: 1
Get Instant Access to Expert-Tailored Solutions
See step-by-step solutions with expert insights and AI powered tools for academic success
Step: 2
Step: 3
Ace Your Homework with AI
Get the answers you need in no time with our AI-driven, step-by-step assistance
Get Started