Identify and explain any fallacies of defective induction or of presumption in the following passages: $...$ I$$ve always reckoned that looking at the new moon over your left shoulder is one of the carelessest and foolishest things a body can do$.$ Old Hank Bunker done it once, and bragged about it; and in less than two years he got drunk and fell off of the shot tower, and spread himself out so that he was just a kind of a layer, as you may say; and they slid him edgeways between two barn doors for a coffin, and buried him so$,$ so they say, but I didn$$t see it$.$ Pap told me$.$ But anyway it all come of looking at the moon that way, like a fool.$$