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If a North American firm ( hot in July, cold in December ) ?made the below pictured snow board, which forecast would likely have the

If a North American firm (hot in July, cold in December) ?made the below pictured snow board, which forecast would likely have the lowest error?
?
? snowboard.JPG
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A forc with a seasonal index of >1 ?in June - ?September for consumer demand
A forc with a seasonal index >1 ?in November - ?February for consumer demand
A forecast that is outside of the tracking signal
A forecast based on average annual consumer demand

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