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If Farhan was exposed to Covid on Thursday and he had no symptoms 4 days later and he got it from Alia who caught it

If Farhan was exposed to Covid on Thursday and he had no symptoms 4 days later and he got it from Alia who caught it at Kiara's wedding 3 days before meeting Farhan at Vihan's party and tested positive 5days later.

Calculate the probability of Farhan's sister Arihana testing positive on the RTPCR if she tests 2 days after Farhsn tests positive.

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