If funding is received for drug B, then the detailed forecast would not be readily available as the research will be based on the methods that have never been used before. Then the forecast would look like this: Outcomes for drug B research Probability Profit/Loss ($ millions) Success 0.25 1000 Failure 0.75 - 250 If the company is denied financial support or prefers not to apply, then it will continue to produce the existing types of medications with a guaranteed profit of $50 million. Profits/losses listed above do not incorporate the supposed $30 million investment by the company in the research. The cost of preparing the proposal for Hirschmann Scientific Foundation is $1 million