If Punxsutawney Phil sees his shadow on February $2,$ then legend says that winter will last $6$ more weeks. In $113$ years, Phil has seen his shadow $102$ times.

$($a$)$ What is the probability that Phil will see his shadow on a randomly chosen Groundhog Day? $($Round your answer to $4$ decimal places.$)$

Probability

$($b$)$ What kind of probability is this?

Classical

Subjective

Empirical