Question
Im working on a practice homework assignment. I dont understand this section. I tried doing a moving average in Excel but it wasn't correct. Question
Im working on a practice homework assignment. I dont understand this section. I tried doing a moving average in Excel but it wasn't correct.
Question 1:
Use the variable Green Beans to forecast the number of green beans for month 169 using a five-month moving average. What is the forecast for month 169? Round your answer to 1 decimal place.
Question 2:
Use the variable Green Beans to forecast the number of green beans for month 169 using an exponential smoothing constant, = 0.6. What is the forecast for month 169? Round your answer to 1 decimal place.
Question 3:
Use the variable Green Beans to forecast the number of green beans using a 5-month moving average and a model with an exponential smoothing constant, = 0.6 . Which model produces a more accurate forecast - the five month moving average (Forecast A) or the exponential smoothing constant, = 0.6 (Forecast B)? Use the MSE to support your answer.
A. Forecast A because the MSE is lower. B. Forecast A because the MSE is higher. C. Forecast B because the MSE is lower.
D. Forecast B because the MSE is higher.
Month | GreenBeans | Broccoli | Carrots | Corn | Onions | GrnPeas | TotVegs |
1 | 184336 | 61415 | 169022 | 471423 | 30289 | 193721 | 1675598 |
2 | 147677 | 62099 | 155202 | 405031 | 29870 | 151250 | 1463357 |
3 | 124821 | 71027 | 141133 | 341149 | 26479 | 118599 | 1311003 |
4 | 103125 | 78708 | 121945 | 280675 | 22433 | 102494 | 1226398 |
5 | 80031 | 91997 | 110867 | 212140 | 20237 | 82478 | 1094891 |
6 | 81518 | 100281 | 106260 | 164356 | 21218 | 126417 | 1081974 |
7 | 123193 | 120458 | 96669 | 124541 | 22609 | 311332 | 1310713 |
8 | 263758 | 121500 | 88959 | 292598 | 21228 | 386200 | 1755657 |
9 | 260146 | 111292 | 92348 | 557510 | 19365 | 364715 | 2030721 |
10 | 234632 | 96597 | 131302 | 582181 | 20327 | 325270 | 2070681 |
11 | 208237 | 89708 | 166230 | 527734 | 23773 | 286696 | 1986389 |
12 | 189759 | 92757 | 163749 | 474726 | 23437 | 252861 | 1857392 |
13 | 158418 | 88626 | 154464 | 403480 | 23843 | 208957 | 1645455 |
14 | 135750 | 91122 | 142100 | 353309 | 24282 | 175712 | 1489574 |
15 | 111393 | 89571 | 128094 | 301441 | 25406 | 145141 | 1333747 |
16 | 94549 | 97859 | 117083 | 237033 | 22059 | 132368 | 1249413 |
17 | 76863 | 112532 | 105650 | 187099 | 20107 | 120333 | 1188015 |
18 | 75177 | 133257 | 96060 | 143053 | 19304 | 228352 | 1269518 |
19 | 142850 | 136407 | 93494 | 120475 | 25823 | 429052 | 1565296 |
20 | 236556 | 139469 | 94671 | 315192 | 27407 | 457145 | 1954127 |
21 | 249682 | 121990 | 93574 | 574891 | 23271 | 431648 | 2238029 |
22 | 219228 | 107326 | 139982 | 616876 | 25598 | 385900 | 2299599 |
23 | 196034 | 86992 | 194817 | 564899 | 28714 | 353382 | 2204174 |
24 | 171884 | 79402 | 180809 | 510603 | 27434 | 314974 | 2021944 |
25 | 150779 | 80134 | 163938 | 450699 | 27166 | 277296 | 1828771 |
26 | 129530 | 89260 | 147623 | 383096 | 29640 | 242928 | 1678130 |
27 | 108632 | 87152 | 143909 | 316787 | 30944 | 208615 | 1516676 |
28 | 93087 | 74884 | 123996 | 260590 | 32586 | 185085 | 1392251 |
29 | 78399 | 80195 | 113702 | 210631 | 34530 | 164019 | 1281053 |
30 | 71150 | 105760 | 103190 | 162571 | 34235 | 227592 | 1300882 |
31 | 130649 | 123028 | 92705 | 136995 | 36241 | 307374 | 1436921 |
32 | 231016 | 144299 | 89619 | 324013 | 36391 | 396948 | 1886999 |
33 | 237804 | 135592 | 95700 | 565815 | 33142 | 355786 | 2133405 |
34 | 221846 | 125584 | 164525 | 606821 | 34850 | 317676 | 2265932 |
35 | 200997 | 118320 | 210759 | 545706 | 35756 | 284148 | 2161280 |
36 | 182613 | 105146 | 208728 | 490756 | 35715 | 249865 | 1977572 |
37 | 153198 | 91614 | 180950 | 416844 | 35389 | 212529 | 1751085 |
38 | 129225 | 95128 | 164038 | 353677 | 33032 | 185479 | 1560205 |
39 | 108630 | 93707 | 149165 | 297984 | 31697 | 155489 | 1412098 |
40 | 94416 | 95408 | 136827 | 251429 | 28118 | 141815 | 1330022 |
41 | 79158 | 111357 | 125852 | 195551 | 25536 | 131779 | 1220258 |
42 | 74180 | 137154 | 116757 | 140051 | 23939 | 233334 | 1260134 |
43 | 150302 | 152291 | 112584 | 167379 | 29586 | 376407 | 1571205 |
44 | 238716 | 159858 | 109293 | 375438 | 30209 | 706658 | 1982656 |
45 | 252750 | 161822 | 113327 | 669962 | 26665 | 386815 | 2341266 |
46 | 233453 | 151994 | 179629 | 664924 | 28782 | 342137 | 2403869 |
47 | 208994 | 133645 | 234124 | 629261 | 29806 | 302126 | 2327508 |
48 | 182898 | 114814 | 214380 | 566546 | 29570 | 251150 | 2098396 |
49 | 159966 | 102540 | 194693 | 502563 | 27509 | 211300 | 1888724 |
50 | 137845 | 107348 | 178007 | 436894 | 28116 | 168127 | 1684048 |
51 | 112011 | 97271 | 158211 | 357774 | 28155 | 128554 | 1479938 |
52 | 92054 | 96840 | 143685 | 296900 | 28025 | 107739 | 1353418 |
53 | 74526 | 111155 | 138581 | 233702 | 29954 | 97626 | 1278499 |
54 | 59839 | 120012 | 114510 | 184229 | 29062 | 162651 | 1258687 |
55 | 92882 | 120922 | 116285 | 128242 | 31692 | 264341 | 1337218 |
56 | 188295 | 118633 | 95262 | 284705 | 36339 | 313091 | 1673607 |
57 | 203871 | 97305 | 84809 | 524324 | 32507 | 282612 | 1880576 |
58 | 195770 | 81813 | 130033 | 567743 | 31789 | 248017 | 1933669 |
59 | 172487 | 67446 | 190497 | 497825 | 33002 | 201647 | 1836251 |
60 | 146418 | 56169 | 183128 | 435493 | 33388 | 166799 | 1671706 |
61 | 119449 | 53233 | 166347 | 374472 | 33313 | 133165 | 1475678 |
62 | 99720 | 65455 | 151741 | 314692 | 36867 | 114540 | 1318569 |
63 | 73778 | 78257 | 147028 | 245687 | 34585 | 80480 | 1161640 |
64 | 57434 | 80795 | 133061 | 188376 | 34721 | 74844 | 1068674 |
65 | 40918 | 103372 | 123300 | 136634 | 40848 | 62448 | 1002194 |
66 | 38204 | 116303 | 114264 | 93628 | 36854 | 133084 | 1022314 |
67 | 104744 | 128770 | 106894 | 60805 | 42315 | 284476 | 1245233 |
68 | 211443 | 151140 | 93432 | 210452 | 38311 | 325896 | 1578852 |
69 | 283175 | 135751 | 90276 | 483020 | 44068 | 327649 | 1979305 |
70 | 258051 | 127356 | 130373 | 568963 | 43846 | 300740 | 2155482 |
71 | 231991 | 120234 | 211158 | 511018 | 42072 | 265944 | 2081035 |
72 | 207702 | 106004 | 208500 | 462414 | 39648 | 232114 | 1956785 |
73 | 177110 | 116129 | 194195 | 401684 | 38725 | 197410 | 1778136 |
74 | 149802 | 123830 | 180216 | 338204 | 36748 | 165302 | 1588909 |
75 | 124896 | 138544 | 168110 | 295838 | 35695 | 119773 | 1450234 |
76 | 106506 | 164389 | 158097 | 244493 | 33230 | 107616 | 1397673 |
77 | 96501 | 181561 | 143283 | 191568 | 30769 | 98956 | 1321074 |
78 | 85694 | 196395 | 138266 | 139146 | 32014 | 218958 | 1404030 |
79 | 156221 | 210118 | 125585 | 111171 | 35950 | 413403 | 1696248 |
80 | 287056 | 204656 | 122481 | 307911 | 33886 | 437365 | 2073913 |
81 | 330800 | 192088 | 126815 | 676920 | 31988 | 417208 | 2545393 |
82 | 301270 | 162166 | 182680 | 699124 | 33325 | 362312 | 2586733 |
83 | 273872 | 136046 | 232814 | 633718 | 34941 | 315518 | 2466661 |
84 | 253184 | 113014 | 224533 | 579399 | 34421 | 282118 | 2303101 |
85 | 222082 | 107294 | 202694 | 518877 | 36167 | 234034 | 2109261 |
86 | 191636 | 136764 | 176385 | 465809 | 36459 | 201735 | 1950384 |
87 | 176013 | 136915 | 151591 | 426077 | 36549 | 168901 | 1810684 |
88 | 145535 | 134645 | 137665 | 375307 | 35940 | 146478 | 1669925 |
89 | 124352 | 131359 | 119606 | 308407 | 34533 | 133028 | 1504886 |
90 | 113486 | 137670 | 109649 | 233433 | 31049 | 220022 | 1483732 |
91 | 187132 | 136079 | 96429 | 210899 | 32275 | 406273 | 1727285 |
92 | 328410 | 132957 | 98618 | 444695 | 35116 | 451617 | 2175708 |
93 | 361060 | 119351 | 109655 | 820778 | 36925 | 400277 | 2592826 |
94 | 313380 | 102721 | 180715 | 824066 | 37545 | 355040 | 2648618 |
95 | 284483 | 94708 | 222716 | 749640 | 34251 | 315536 | 2502411 |
96 | 248737 | 88286 | 203637 | 636611 | 32137 | 272691 | 2243853 |
97 | 229513 | 98870 | 180664 | 595286 | 35681 | 238366 | 2080245 |
98 | 209327 | 114090 | 152978 | 530496 | 36179 | 201369 | 1884819 |
99 | 180431 | 127015 | 135581 | 478094 | 31748 | 160818 | 1716314 |
100 | 154790 | 138692 | 118738 | 424181 | 30713 | 141696 | 1597045 |
101 | 135005 | 141116 | 112724 | 355393 | 30004 | 148226 | 1507794 |
102 | 116360 | 150460 | 99743 | 285023 | 27829 | 229461 | 1498044 |
103 | 183040 | 144815 | 94793 | 250047 | 30314 | 411157 | 1704801 |
104 | 253331 | 140387 | 89398 | 500440 | 33420 | 436219 | 2065984 |
105 | 250742 | 136389 | 108672 | 792322 | 35545 | 430295 | 2408558 |
106 | 231844 | 140925 | 194675 | 800889 | 36590 | 400527 | 2529992 |
107 | 207878 | 142915 | 266063 | 727834 | 36141 | 354397 | 2488787 |
108 | 190465 | 143486 | 254040 | 657244 | 34230 | 305164 | 2300040 |
109 | 172659 | 145772 | 241850 | 598082 | 36006 | 282204 | 2164133 |
110 | 150960 | 155640 | 233008 | 526900 | 32925 | 236853 | 1964942 |
111 | 129729 | 167419 | 220388 | 437650 | 30951 | 181963 | 1736325 |
112 | 103921 | 186629 | 211242 | 371769 | 26896 | 157756 | 1633520 |
113 | 87548 | 194850 | 192585 | 306034 | 23722 | 139168 | 1499880 |
114 | 73907 | 194061 | 176830 | 239379 | 24787 | 177245 | 1405764 |
115 | 127207 | 183269 | 150697 | 188956 | 31854 | 337127 | 1547426 |
116 | 226162 | 171776 | 143622 | 319008 | 34885 | 384616 | 1837230 |
117 | 258410 | 168874 | 165680 | 559386 | 33618 | 336661 | 2102450 |
118 | 217852 | 150053 | 212873 | 660021 | 33758 | 303591 | 2217306 |
119 | 213348 | 142011 | 269674 | 570470 | 37814 | 286844 | 2182492 |
120 | 184418 | 134774 | 260993 | 493411 | 36101 | 261338 | 2015892 |
121 | 166632 | 133718 | 251052 | 424488 | 36981 | 204967 | 1835782 |
122 | 137737 | 133612 | 242414 | 359076 | 32682 | 158494 | 1648986 |
123 | 118908 | 133725 | 224824 | 283677 | 31787 | 123163 | 1475347 |
124 | 95360 | 147594 | 201787 | 220833 | 30180 | 102178 | 1351208 |
125 | 77110 | 157328 | 184449 | 165963 | 30087 | 98583 | 1300136 |
126 | 71457 | 152312 | 165748 | 119206 | 31296 | 218032 | 1392227 |
127 | 151051 | 161847 | 152636 | 123742 | 40808 | 388372 | 1644196 |
128 | 269075 | 153731 | 147465 | 384257 | 45066 | 397667 | 2056994 |
129 | 306632 | 135150 | 155788 | 725717 | 48703 | 380828 | 2450277 |
130 | 275252 | 120907 | 223746 | 765957 | 53304 | 338066 | 2510157 |
131 | 247042 | 120153 | 285179 | 707070 | 53606 | 304370 | 2464853 |
132 | 224681 | 109076 | 271144 | 645985 | 51244 | 260487 | 2288336 |
133 | 202515 | 112677 | 252893 | 539748 | 49451 | 213833 | 2060675 |
134 | 161518 | 110572 | 247507 | 481369 | 50696 | 192588 | 1915525 |
135 | 143916 | 103021 | 219721 | 403953 | 50354 | 149012 | 1747546 |
136 | 114495 | 114541 | 213758 | 331371 | 44833 | 127733 | 1586519 |
137 | 99028 | 115458 | 195108 | 262245 | 45317 | 119577 | 1471118 |
138 | 87436 | 110075 | 176054 | 199148 | 42810 | 219669 | 1422141 |
139 | 156197 | 127892 | 165649 | 188498 | 42642 | 389209 | 1698436 |
140 | 269042 | 119435 | 169871 | 436436 | 41472 | 394943 | 2128705 |
141 | 297034 | 114491 | 165004 | 722507 | 43882 | 363326 | 2430902 |
142 | 268790 | 116933 | 231641 | 795086 | 47184 | 341652 | 2546324 |
143 | 241566 | 126954 | 313487 | 722880 | 48112 | 304928 | 2508131 |
144 | 224297 | 136850 | 307645 | 648994 | 48761 | 281349 | 2390428 |
145 | 192814 | 132466 | 283349 | 584206 | 47384 | 245525 | 2147243 |
146 | 172568 | 164788 | 264065 | 491557 | 44776 | 208558 | 2005765 |
147 | 148658 | 141189 | 236568 | 386402 | 45081 | 163820 | 1722152 |
148 | 121526 | 133798 | 221813 | 329161 | 38699 | 147794 | 1575170 |
149 | 92856 | 138354 | 188167 | 259394 | 40141 | 133570 | 1461402 |
150 | 80224 | 150883 | 177248 | 215553 | 38342 | 163293 | 1422893 |
151 | 135849 | 146630 | 155417 | 188235 | 36063 | 279556 | 1525796 |
152 | 250870 | 146869 | 160470 | 332015 | 36830 | 324942 | 1901353 |
153 | 282133 | 138703 | 187579 | 716876 | 39007 | 305164 | 2371993 |
154 | 255912 | 128033 | 237272 | 828144 | 36743 | 277076 | 2497311 |
155 | 227381 | 112411 | 297498 | 735731 | 42786 | 243530 | 2388041 |
156 | 202607 | 120971 | 281791 | 645424 | 40521 | 208357 | 2185704 |
157 | 178636 | 104939 | 245683 | 565536 | 40313 | 174706 | 1946880 |
158 | 148003 | 99259 | 234040 | 488724 | 43512 | 144706 | 1749512 |
159 | 128520 | 102002 | 217999 | 415156 | 42048 | 111692 | 1553441 |
160 | 112655 | 122430 | 201629 | 333871 | 37328 | 95440 | 1461895 |
161 | 94363 | 112136 | 167777 | 264536 | 36141 | 73375 | 1312012 |
162 | 84908 | 108415 | 162170 | 203727 | 37813 | 137612 | 1317133 |
163 | 156250 | 118967 | 149864 | 164694 | 40762 | 300102 | 1529711 |
164 | 273944 | 119041 | 159784 | 436734 | 36335 | 321298 | 1988991 |
165 | 296589 | 114943 | 173249 | 723876 | 36084 | 339697 | 2390139 |
166 | 283497 | 106043 | 245751 | 798943 | 40116 | 306008 | 2509258 |
167 | 255806 | 111652 | 328015 | 746964 | 41320 | 249048 | 2496122 |
168 | 230661 | 112311 | 300870 | 677839 | 42218 | 219533 | 2303007 |
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