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In 2009, a report was issued analyzing the forecasting performance and public response during a particularly deadly February 2008 tornado outbreak. Part of the analysis
In 2009, a report was issued analyzing the forecasting performance and public response during a particularly deadly February 2008 tornado outbreak. Part of the analysis addressed why some people took cover while others chose not to take action to protect themselves, even though people generally indicated overall satisfaction with the forecasting performance and reported receiving tornado warning information through various sources: sirens, television, radio, or word of mouth. Based on interviews with victims of the storms, the report found several barriers that prevented people from seeking shelter. Some people indicated they thought the threat was minimal because February is not within the traditional tornado season. Others said they spent time seeking confirmation and attempted to reach a safe location only after they saw a tornado, putting themselves at risk. Many people dismissed the threat of personal injury through optimism bias, the belief that such bad things only happen to other people. According to the report's recommendation, forecasting agencies should improve wording and call-to-action statements to convey more effectively the urgency and danger of the tornado threat. One of the report's findings, however, is of particular concern: the majority of those interviewed sought shelter in the best location available, but many
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