Question
In a family of three people (two children and their father), the father returns from work with a cold. Thereafter, the spread of the cold
In a family of three people (two children and their father), the father returns from work with a cold. Thereafter, the spread of the cold through the family may be modeled as a stochastic general epidemic. The infections contact rate between members of the family is = 0.5 per day and any person who catches the cold remains infections for a time which is exponentially distributed with mean 4 days.
(i) Determine the probability distribution of the number of members of the family who never catch the cold. Hence write down the probability that the whole family caught the cold (correct to one decimal places).
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