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In Canada, about 21.56% of women over 40 will develop breast cancer in any given year. A common screening test for cancer is the mammogram,

In Canada, about 21.56% of women over 40 will develop breast cancer in any given year. A common screening test for cancer is the mammogram, but it is not perfect. In about 36.21% of patients with breast cancer, the test gives a false negative: it indicates a woman does not have breast cancer when she does have breast cancer. Similarly, the test gives a false positive in 72.89% of patients who do not have breast cancer: it indicates these patients have breast cancer when they actually do not. 


If a randomly selected woman over 40 is tested for breast cancer using a mammogram and the test is positive - that is, the test suggests the woman has cancer - what is the probability she has breast cancer?  

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