Question
In mid-2009, Rite Aid had CCC-rated, 4-year bonds outstanding with a yield to maturity of 17.3%. At the time, similar maturity Treasuries had a yield
In mid-2009, Rite Aid had CCC-rated, 4-year bonds outstanding with a yield to maturity of 17.3%. At the time, similar maturity Treasuries had a yield of 2%. Suppose the market risk premium is 6% and you believe Rite Aid's bonds have a beta of 0.39. The expected loss rate of these bonds in the event of default is 51%.
a. What annual probability of default would be consistent with the yield to maturity of these bonds in mid-2009?
b. In mid-2015, Rite-Aid's bonds had a yield of 7.4%, while similar-maturity Treasuries had a yield of 1.2%. What probability of default would you estimate now?
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The Oxford Handbook Of Quantitative Asset Management
Authors: Bernd Scherer, Kenneth Winston
1st Edition
0199553432, 978-0199553433
