In our analysis of OMB, we studied the aggregate demand (AD) and aggregate supply (AS) model in the context of recessions, expansions and supply shocks on economic activity. In addition, in Ch.12, we discussed the role of monetary policy on economic activity. As a result, the different type of 'shocks' that affect economic activity bare consequences on the level of ination and output. Central banks, such as the RBA, can simultaneously pursue \"stabilising prices\" (i.e., maintaining a targeted level of ination) and \"stabilising economic activity\" (i.e., economic activity remaining at its potential level}. However, not all shocks to the economy are equal. In response to this, economistsipolicymakers can either achieve price stability or economic stability, but not both. This tradepff ultimately poses a dilemma for central banks with dual mandates such as price stability and economic activity. On the other hand, New-Keynesian theory suggests that there is no trade-off between price stability and maintaining economic activity something called the \"divine coincidence\". Recall the long-run potential macroeconomic equilibrium condition: Inflation LRAS Flats. 11 its, no, Aggregate Output, Y Fig. 1 Macro-equilibrium price and output in the long-run. where the economy is at long-run macroeconomic equilibrium (point 1); output (or real GDP) is at its potential level at Y\" ; and ination (or the price level) is at its target rate (set by the central bank) at 1:1". Question 3 [3 marks total]. Oil price shocks have been a reoccurring phenomenon over the last fty years. causing signicant uctuations in the price of oil. Examples of oil price Page 3 of 4 shocks include the early 19705 caused by the OPEC oil embargo, the early 19905 caused by the Gulf War, and the Arab Spring during the early 2010s Oil-importing nations like Australia are signicantly affected by rising oil prices. Nonetheless. evidence has shown that oil price shocks are a temporary phenomenon and eventually, prices decline. Assume that there is no scal policy response from the government in relation to an oil price shock. a. Explain and illustrate the short-run effect of a temporary oil price shock on macroeconomic equilibrium using the AD-AS model. [0.5 marks] b. Explain and illustrate the adjustment process to back to long-run equilibrium based on the following: i. Self-correcting mechanism (i.e., with no policy response). [1 mark] ii. Active stabilisation response (i.e., with policy response). [Hint there could be two active stabilisation polices here]. [1.5 marks] Question 4 [1 Mark total]. Based on your answers in part (b) for Q1, Q2, and 03. does the 'divine coincidence' hold? [1 mark] Question 1 [3 marks total]. While evidence shows that the Global Financial Crisis (GFC) impacted rms (small to large), it is generally accepted (and shown by empirical studies} that the GFC predominantly impacted on householdsiconsumer spending (i.e., on aggregate demand). Assume this is the case. Also assume that there is no scal policy response from the government. a. Explain and illustrate the short-run effect of the GFC on macroeconomic equilibrium using the ADAS model. [0.5 marks] b. Explain and illustrate the adjustment process to back to long-run equilibrium based on the following i. Self-correcting mechanism (i.e., with no policy response}. [1 mark] ii. Active stabilisation response (i.e., with policy response). [1.5 marks] Question 2 [3 marks total]. The last several decades has seen a signicant amount of human capital entering Australia from foreign nations ranging from low-skilled to high skilled labour and seen as an important factor of the rate of invention and innovation within an economy. Imposing restrictions on skilled immigration policy may deteriorate the overall level of human capital given it is an integral part of production, and hence output. COVID- 19 has also shown the restrictive effects of the movement of human capital across countries. Assume there is no scal policy response om the government for the following questions. a. Explain and illustrate the short-run effect of the Australian Government imposing a strict ban on human capital entering Australia, by signicantly reducing the number of skilled immigrants entering the nation over the next 20 years on macroeconomic equilibrium using the ADAS model. [0.5 marks] b. Explain and illustrate the adjustment process to back to long-run equilibrium based on the following: i. Self-correcting mechanism (i.e.. with no policy response}. [1 mark] ii. Active stabilisation response (i.e., with policy response}. [1.5 marks]