Question
in roughly 500 words, summarize the patterns in the data and assess how the patterns you observe in 2020 differ from what we saw in
in roughly 500 words, summarize the patterns in the data and assess how the patterns you observe in 2020 differ from what we saw in 2016. Did Biden outperform Clinton? Did Trump outperform or under perform his 2016 showing? Why did we ultimately see a different result? Use examples from the data to bolster your claims
Linear regression-Biden's 2020 vote share as a function of Clinton's 2016 vote share
Biden_Pct | Coef. | St.Err. | t-value | p-value | [95% Conf | Interval] | Sig | ||||
ClintonPct | .975 | .024 | 41.06 | 0 | .927 | 1.023 | *** | ||||
Constant | 5.115 | 1.097 | 4.66 | 0 | 2.909 | 7.32 | *** | ||||
Mean dependent var | 48.608 | SD dependent var | 12.054 | ||||||||
R-squared | 0.972 | Number of obs | 51 | ||||||||
F-test | 1685.748 | Prob > F | 0.000 | ||||||||
Akaike crit. (AIC) | 219.736 | Bayesian crit. (BIC) | 223.600 | ||||||||
*** p<.01, ** p<.05, * p<.1 | |||||||||||
Linear regression-Trump's 2020 vote share as a function of Trump's 2016 vote share
Trump_Vote_201 | 1.486 | .111 | 13.38 | 0 | 1.263 | 1.709 | *** | ||||
Constant | -241853.27 | 186030.56 | -1.30 | .2 | -615695.68 | 131989.14 | |||||
Mean dependent var | 1593627.745 | SD dependent var | 1916161.970 | ||||||||
R-squared | 0.785 | Number of obs | 51 | ||||||||
F-test | 179.011 | Prob > F | 0.000 | ||||||||
Akaike crit. (AIC) | 1544.821 | Bayesian crit. (BIC) | 1548.684 | ||||||||
*** p<.01, ** p<.05, * p<.1 | |||||||||||
Linear regression-other candidate vote share in 2020 as a function of other candidate vote share in 2016
Other_2020 | Coef. | St.Err. | t-value | p-value | [95% Conf | Interval] | Sig | ||||
Other_2016 | 33.903 | .989 | 34.28 | 0 | 31.916 | 35.89 | *** | ||||
Constant | 78592.046 | 227758.26 | 0.35 | .732 | -379105.3 | 536289.4 | |||||
Mean dependent var | 5599072.549 | SD dependent var | 5692675.118 | ||||||||
R-squared | 0.960 | Number of obs | 51 | ||||||||
F-test | 1175.457 | Prob > F | 0.000 | ||||||||
Akaike crit. (AIC) | 1570.160 | Bayesian crit. (BIC) | 1574.024 | ||||||||
*** p<.01, ** p<.05, * p<.1 | |||||||||||
Step by Step Solution
There are 3 Steps involved in it
Step: 1
Get Instant Access to Expert-Tailored Solutions
See step-by-step solutions with expert insights and AI powered tools for academic success
Step: 2
Step: 3
Ace Your Homework with AI
Get the answers you need in no time with our AI-driven, step-by-step assistance
Get Started