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in roughly 500 words, summarize the patterns in the data and assess how the patterns you observe in 2020 differ from what we saw in

in roughly 500 words, summarize the patterns in the data and assess how the patterns you observe in 2020 differ from what we saw in 2016. Did Biden outperform Clinton? Did Trump outperform or under perform his 2016 showing? Why did we ultimately see a different result? Use examples from the data to bolster your claims

Linear regression-Biden's 2020 vote share as a function of Clinton's 2016 vote share

Biden_Pct Coef. St.Err. t-value p-value [95% Conf Interval] Sig
ClintonPct .975 .024 41.06 0 .927 1.023 ***
Constant 5.115 1.097 4.66 0 2.909 7.32 ***
Mean dependent var 48.608 SD dependent var 12.054
R-squared 0.972 Number of obs 51
F-test 1685.748 Prob > F 0.000
Akaike crit. (AIC) 219.736 Bayesian crit. (BIC) 223.600
*** p<.01, ** p<.05, * p<.1

Linear regression-Trump's 2020 vote share as a function of Trump's 2016 vote share

Trump_Vote_201 1.486 .111 13.38 0 1.263 1.709 ***
Constant -241853.27 186030.56 -1.30 .2 -615695.68 131989.14
Mean dependent var 1593627.745 SD dependent var 1916161.970
R-squared 0.785 Number of obs 51
F-test 179.011 Prob > F 0.000
Akaike crit. (AIC) 1544.821 Bayesian crit. (BIC) 1548.684
*** p<.01, ** p<.05, * p<.1

Linear regression-other candidate vote share in 2020 as a function of other candidate vote share in 2016

Other_2020 Coef. St.Err. t-value p-value [95% Conf Interval] Sig
Other_2016 33.903 .989 34.28 0 31.916 35.89 ***
Constant 78592.046 227758.26 0.35 .732 -379105.3 536289.4
Mean dependent var 5599072.549 SD dependent var 5692675.118
R-squared 0.960 Number of obs 51
F-test 1175.457 Prob > F 0.000
Akaike crit. (AIC) 1570.160 Bayesian crit. (BIC) 1574.024
*** p<.01, ** p<.05, * p<.1

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