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In the following date we have 3 investments, all starting with $20000. Investment 1: Put half of the money in a savings account to earn

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In the following date we have 3 investments, all starting with $20000. Investment 1: Put half of the money in a savings account to earn 5% interest and invest the remaining half to have a shot at doubling it with 50% chance or losing it all with 50% chance.

Investment 2: Put $8000 in a savings account to earn 5% interest and invest the remaining $12000 have a shot at earning $8000 return on it with 60% chance or losing $8000 with 40% chance.

Invesment 3: Put all of the money in a savings account to earn 5% interest, there is 1% chance of losing it all.

5% interest risky part Profit Net profit utility EMV Expected Utility Certainty Equivalent Risk Premium
investment 1 500 10000 30500 10500 0.95264108 50% 20,500.00 0.80135166 16162.1917 4,337.81
500 0 10500 -9500 0.65006225 50%
0
investment 2 200 28200 8200 0.94039406 60% 21,800.00 0.84614437 18717.40568 3,082.59
200 12200 -7800 0.70476983 40%
bank account 1000 21000 0.87754357 99% 20,790.00 0.86876814 20307.89566 482.10
0 0 1%
amount of money that is equivalent in your mind to a given situation that involves uncertainty the amount you'll give up to get certainty
Exercise 3 (4 pts) have to write a statement of the environment of the decision and the data that you have, and then solve this statement and explain the conclusions you will reach. The statement should allow to create a 3x3 table with the decisions to be made, the future states and the benefits of each of the decisions in each of the future states. E1 E2 E3 D1 D2 D3 The activities to be carried out with the data are: A. Evaluate the best option with Maximax B. Evaluate the best option with Maximin C. Evaluate the best option with criteria of realism with alpha=0.3 D. Evaluate the best option with equal probability E. Evaluate the best option with Minimax regret F. Create a table with the best option for each technique Exercise 3 (4 pts) have to write a statement of the environment of the decision and the data that you have, and then solve this statement and explain the conclusions you will reach. The statement should allow to create a 3x3 table with the decisions to be made, the future states and the benefits of each of the decisions in each of the future states. E1 E2 E3 D1 D2 D3 The activities to be carried out with the data are: A. Evaluate the best option with Maximax B. Evaluate the best option with Maximin C. Evaluate the best option with criteria of realism with alpha=0.3 D. Evaluate the best option with equal probability E. Evaluate the best option with Minimax regret F. Create a table with the best option for each technique

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