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In the late 1 9 9 0 s , car leasing was very popular in the United States. A customer would lease a car from

In the late 1990 s, car leasing was very popular in the United States. A customer would lease a car from the manufacturer for a set term, usually two years, and then have the option of keeping the car. If the customer decided to keep the car, the customer would pay a price to the manufacturer, the "residual value," computed as 60% of the new car price. The manufacturer would then sell the returned cars at auction. In 1999, manufacturers lost an average of $480 on each returned car (the auction price was, on average, $480 less than the residual value).
Suppose two customers have leased cars from a manufacturer. Their lease agreements are up, and they are considering whether to keep (and purchase at 60% of the new car price) their cars or return their cars. Two years ago, Juanita leased a car that was valued new at $19,000. If she returns the car, the manufacturer could likely get $9,690 at auction for the car. Dina also leased a car, valued new at $14,000, two years ago. If she returns the car, the manufacturer could likely get $9,800 at auction for the car.
Use the following table to indicate whether each buyer is more likely to purchase or return the car.
\table[[Buyer Keep and Purchase Car Return Car],[Dina],[Juanita]]
The manufacturer will lose money (at auction, relative to the residual value of the car) if returns the car instead of keeping and purchasing it.
True or False: Setting a more accurate residual price of each car would help attenuate the problems of adverse selection.
True
False
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