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In this assignment, you will compute the Brier score of a forecaster. 1. Select a forecasting problem (e.g., the event of whether a friend can

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In this assignment, you will compute the Brier score of a forecaster. 1. Select a forecasting problem (e.g., the event of whether a friend can correct translate a given English word into French). 2. Find a friend, family member, or classmate to help you out. Either you or your partner can serve as the forecaster. 3. On each round, the forecaster will provide a forecast (i.e., a probability that the event will occur). Record the forecast and the outcome (1 when it happens, O when it does not). Repeat for a reasonable number of events. 4. Compute the forecaster's Brier score: the mean squared error between the forecast and the outcome. 5. Create a 1-page description of what you did, including a description of the forecasting problem (the event), a table of the results, and the computed Brier score. Did they do well

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