Question
In your co-op term at CIBC, you are asked to evaluate a few CDS deals. The contemplated CDS has a 5-year tenure and calls for
In your co-op term at CIBC, you are asked to evaluate a few CDS deals. The
contemplated CDS has a 5-year tenure and calls for annual payments to be made at
the end of each year. The reference identity's conditional probability of default during
a year conditional on no earlier default is 5.1%. The estimated recovery rate is 43%.
The LIBOR rate is 3.5%.
A)
Assume that when default occurs, it occurs in the middle of the year. Please calculate
the fair CDS spread. A 7-year CDS on the same reference identify was struck two
years ago (with CIBC being the protection seller, and CPPIB being the protection
buyer) had a contract spread of 325bp for a principal amount of $250 million. What is
the value of the CDS to CPPIB at this point?
B)
Assume that when default occurs, it occurs at the end of the year. Please calculate the
fair CDS spread.
C)
Compare the fair spreads from A) and B). Without doing calculations, please discuss
the size of the CDS spread if the swap payments are made at the beginning of each
year (for discussions here, assume defaults occur in the middle of the year).
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