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Income at the architectural firm Spraggins and Yunes for the period February to July was as follows: Month Income (in $1000) Feb 72.0 Mar 70.5
Income at the architectural firm Spraggins and Yunes for the period February to July was as follows:
Month | Income (in $1000) |
Feb | 72.0 |
Mar | 70.5 |
Apr | 66.8 |
May | 70.5 |
Jun | 70.1 |
Jul | 70.8 |
a) Use trend-adjusted exponential smoothing to forecast the firms August income. Assume that the initial forecast average for February is $67,000 and the initial trend adjustment is 0. The smoothing constants selected are = 0.2 and = 0.4.
b) Resolve part (a) with = 0.4 and = 0.8.
c) Determine which smoothing constants provide a better forecast using MAD, MSE, and MAPE.
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