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International finance: A U.S. firm holds an asset in UK and considers selling it in one year. The firm faces the following scenario of the

International finance:

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A U.S. firm holds an asset in UK and considers selling it in one year. The firm faces the following scenario of the future spot rates in one year: State 1 State 2 State 3 State 4 State 5 20% 20% 20% 20% 20% Probability Spot rate ($/) P*) 1.6 1.5 1.4 1.3 1.2 1200 1400 1600 1800 2000 P ($) $1920 $2100 $2240 $2340 $2400 In the above table, P* is the pound price (local price) of the asset in UK held by the U.S. firm and P is the dollar price of the asset. The variance of the dollar price of this asset if the U.S. firm remains unhedged against this exposure is

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