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Introduction to Bayesian analysis 6) There are five machines in a factory. Of these machines, three are working properly and two are defective. Machines which

Introduction to Bayesian analysis

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6) There are five machines in a factory. Of these machines, three are working properly and two are defective. Machines which are working properly produce articles each of which has independently a probability of 0.1 of being imperfect. For the defective machines this probability is 0.2. A machine is chosen at random and five articles produced by the machine are examined. What is the probability that the machine chosen is defective given that, of the five articles examined, two are imperfect and three are perfect

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