**Is optimism real? - (football fans predicting who will win) According to this study, is optimism real (circle one)? Yes No What was one of the criticisms of the past research examining whether incentives reduce optimistic predictions? (p. 630, right column) Who was eligible to participate in this study? (hint: something about the surveys they gave people before the actual study began). Briefly, what did the researchers do and what did they find? Put this into your own words! Instead of having just partisans and neutrals, they divided the sample into three groups. Why? How does Figure 1 demonstrate optimism? Which bar(s) on that graph is (are) the most relevant or interesting for this study?