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It appears that because of COVID limitations, data was collected virtually through phone, email, and surveys with a population that may have barriers to those

  • It appears that because of COVID limitations, data was collected virtually through phone, email, and surveys with a population that may have barriers to those methods of data collection. How do you think this could bias the results (e.g., how would it change the findings if they used a different method of data collection?)
  • An anthropological perspective would suggest looking more at the individual culture of each of the settlements. The article discusses that settlements vary in the time spent living there, lifespan, and location among other factors. Could the different cultures at each location influence the results? If so, how?
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Done sustainability-13... Q 57 m 160f 2i) mentation stage and the requirements to be assured in the management model, given that the period of use may well to be very long. It is, therefore, crucial to incorporate urban planning strategies and the optimization of infrastructure networks in the decisionmaking process to support the management model. Besides helping to demystify a type of settlement that is currently erroneously as sumed to be rudimentary, this research also provides a knowledge base to support the construction of responses with the capacity to be implemented not only immediately, but fundamentally, in the long term. Through case studies, complementary qualitative research can reinforce the above- mentioned deductions. Comparisons with formal settlements, such as villages, towns, and cities can reveal which features are similar to emergency settlements, and which features are unique to them. This analysis can inform which strategies used in long established settlements can also be used in consolidated emergency settlements, and which strategies should not be applied. Author Contributions: Conceptualization, A.D.,' methodology, A.D., D.B., EH\" M.A.,' software, D.B.; validation, A.D., D.B., I'.H., M.A.; formal analysis, A.D., M.A.; investigation, A.D.,' data curation, A.D.; writingoriginal draft preparation, A.D.; writing review and editing, A.D., D.B., I'.H., M.A.; visualization, A.D.; supervision, MA. All authors have read and agreed to the published version of the manuscript. Funding: This research received no external funding. Institutional Review Board Statement: Not applicable Informed Consent Statement: Not applicable. Data Availability Statement: Publicly accessible datasets were analyzed in this study. This data can be found here: Illips'f ldoinrg/ it) on\" i/iiN.i'iI-_;s|i.irc. | 12/ 1M\") \\'l (accessed on 27 November 2020). Acknowledgments: The authors thank proofreaders, and anonymous reviewers for their constructive comments and feedback. Conicts of Interest: The authors declare no conict of interest. Appendix A The statistical distribution analysis results were obtained by percentage and average calculation. The percentage (p) calculation was performed by applying the equation below, where x is the frequency of a case and n the total number of cases 1' 7 100 = n X P The average (A) calculation was performed by applying the equation below, where n is the number of values and a, are the data set values. The variance calculation was performed by applying the equation below, where 5 is the sample standard deviation, f is the sample mean, 2:,- represents the individual values, and N is the size of the samples. The sample standard deviation calculation was performed by applying the square root of the variance. U, : an 7 r )2 N Done sustainability-13... Q A? m 36 15 of 20 information could be of great assistance in the implementation of daytoday strategies for the management of these settlements and provide useful means of applying criteria to enable the implementation of sound policies. In terms of sustainable consolidation, it is possible to recognize the development of some emergency settlements into cohesive and interconnected communities. This can be demonstrated through the achievement of a reasonably good level of economic, environmental, social and political sustainability [41]. Economic sustainability was demonstrated by the selfreliance of residents in some settlements. For instance, the fact that Kakuma residents have developed their own banking system to tackle the lack of this service, which is crucial for the economic development of the settlement [-EZ]. However, the continuing dependence of some camp residents on external assistance reveals that not all camps can be considered sustainable. In terms of environmental sustainability, some camps have implemented sustain- able strategies, such as solar cooking [43], thus reducing the need for wood, local water harvesting, which reduces the need for transported water, and wastewater treatment, Social sustainability has been acquired and cultivated through community develop- ment, such as democratic selection of leaders and establishment of religious and recreational activities, as witnessed in some refugee camps, although in others the archaic and undemo cratic systems derived from the ethnic structure of their homeland still remains [-14]. The political aspect of emergency settlements previously discussed by researchers, such as Agamben, Agier and Turner can be confirmed through changes in the environment, as a sign of a desire by residents to imprint their individuality. Limitations One of the comments in this study was about the problems with the generalization of emergency settlements, and a lack of more specific information on their variants, The quan- titative analysis methodology used in this study provides better insight into emergency settlements but offers only relative information. The aim of the study was to demon strate that each type of emergency settlement has its distinct characteristics; therefore, the researchers consider that the methodology applied to reach the goal was appropriate. However, the study does not produce results that address the generalization of each type of settlement. For instance, not every refugee camp is the same, and generalizing them as such is also inaccurate, Those aspects will only be achieved through a thorough investigation on each type of individual settlement 5. Conclusions The investigation, in the context of a quantitative analysis of measurable and non- measurable variables in three types of emergency settlements (refugee camp, [DP en- campment, and community settlement) allowed the identication of the characteristics of each variant, and established their similarities and differences, thus rectifying a lack of systematic definition of emergency settlement. The results make it evident that these settlements should not be generalized as per manent or automatically assumed as temporary. The investigation also provides crucial sources of well classified information as the basis for better informed decision making on the medium- and long-term policies for individual settlements. The nature of the long-term duration and particularity of each emergency settlement requires humanitarian organizations to change the standardized procedures that are ap- plicable to temporary solutions. The actions of mass migration and largescale internal displacements, which are possible to anticipate today as a result of geopolitical contexts and climate change, should lead to the fact that forced mobility of people can have integrated support from international entities, both in technical and logistical terms. Emergency denotes a state of temporality; however, this investigation clarifies that most emergency settlements, particularly refugee camps, are no longer transitory habitats. Thus, planning and construction actions need to anticipate possible phasing in the imple- Done sustainability-13... Q g m irrtlrhtu 2021, [3, 1355s '4 of It) The authors of this study did not identify any other piece of work that has provided a quantitative analysis on the average lifespan of emergency settlements. Several media publications state that the average lifespan of a refugee camp is 17 years. This figure comes from the UNCHR publication, The State oftlrt' World's Refugees [RU], which in turn is sourced from another UNHCR internal document entitled Protracted Refugee Situations ['41]. The text reads: \"it is estimated that the average duration of major refugee situations, protracted or not, has increased: from 9 years in 1993 to 17 years in 2003.\" and does not actually relate to refugee lifespan, but to the average duration of major refugee situations. This research is the first published study to provide a figure of the average lifespan of currently open refugee camps (23.8 years), based on data collected from 286 settlements. As emergency settlements are constantly opening and closing, a proposed fixed lifespan figure for this type of habitat is unlikely to be representative. The calculation would have to keep taking into consideration recently open settlements, which have a shorter lifespan, bringing down the average figure. However, rather than a fixed figure, the most important information taken from this analysis is the confirmation of the longevity of emergency settlements, especially refugee camps. This confirmation ought to be the catalyst for change in the strategies applied to their planning and management, moving from temporary to likely long-lasting scenarios. 313, Average Density According to Mumford ['1], to be considered urban, a settlement should he more than a certain size and it requires a certain level of complexity and diversity, which is mostly found in sites with high density. Density analysis gives an indication of the level of concentration of people in emergency settlements, and whether the complexity and diversity meet the criteria to be considered urban realms. Table 1 shows that currently open emergency settlements have an average density of 9849 people per square kilometer with a standard deviation of 10,285 people per square kilometer, which is higher than many cities, such as Mexico City with 6000 people per square kilometer, Tokyo with 622-1 people per square kilometer, or Sao Paulo with 7216 peo- ple per square kilometer 31]. IDP settlements have higher average density (18,423 people per square kilometer with a standard deviation of 15,303 people per square kilometer) than refugee camps (97-16 people per square kilometer with a standard deviation of 9487 people per square kilometer), whilst community settlements have lower density (5199 people per square kilometer with a standard deviation of (1686 people per square kilometer). Table 2. Density (people per square kilometer) of emergency settlement per continent, . Community Continent Settlement IDP Seltlemenl Refugee Camp Grand Average Africa 5l82 21,675 10,521 10,346 Asia 5304 [3,428 8880 9158 Average 5199 [8,423 9727 9849 Source from: Emergencr Settlement Catalogue. Similar to the lifespan calculation, a coefficrent of variation of above 70 per cent certifies the reliability of the estimation. Although social connectivity is currently undergoing a change through the disseminae tion of social media, denser environments still favor social connection. When considering lifespan and density together, it can be noted that some settlements have enough human concentration and duration to foment the complexity and diversity required to be con sidered urban areas. The analysis also shows similarities between the average density of camps in Asia and Africa, which indicates a consistent feature that can be used in the plan- ning and management of these types of settlement across the globe. Another observation, presented in Table 1, is that older settlements have lower density than newer ones, showing a natural equilibrium of distribution of people over the time, either by an expansion in the campsite or a reduction in inhabitants through repatriation or resettlement programs. Done sustainability-13... Q g m Sirshmmlufiiy 2021, ii, 135m. 4 onti S irsfmmlufiiy 2021, 13, l3586 be part of their planning, especially when they are seen as temporary habitats; however, this aspect is rarely taken into consideration Due to the prolonged lifespan of emergency settlements, many of their original char? acteristics evolve over time, which provides them with particular features. For instance, their layout become more organic, the demographics change, and infrastructures are devele oped [Ell]. An example of this phenomenon can be witnessed in Kakuma refugee camp, Kenya where shelters inside older blocks are no longer in a grid system but arranged in groups that form small clusters. In other cases, the changes are in reverse, such as in Kutupalong refugee camp, Bangladesh where parts of the camp established in an or- ganic way are going through spatial reorganization to facilitate circulation and prevent the spread of fire. These changes occur more often in refugee camps than in other types of emergency settlement. The way changes consolidate in each type of emergency settlement define what they become. An understanding of what they develop info can better inform their planning and management, and indicate which are potentially sustainable and should be supported in the long-term, and which ones are not sustainable in the long run. The main objectives of this study are twofold: to better characterize emergency settlements by sharing highly significant and comparative universal information, such as settlements' average lifespan, demography and location; and to discuss and under- stand how the average lifespan of settlements, population, and location can be used as information to improve policy formulation on key questions such as whether emergency settlements should continue to be exclusively determined, planned and managed as teme poiary encampments or on the contrary, evaluated to determine whether some should be permanent in response to problems broader than migration. Another aspect that deserves more attention is that of gender and settlement. Emer gency settlements are paramount for people's safety, especially for mothers who have lost husbands in conicts and their children, and young girls who are some of the most Vulnerable in relation to gender~based violence. The results of this article can also be used to highlight this issue and instigate policy and design to address it. 2. Materials and Methods An analysis and review of the plan and operation system of emergency settlements was adopted as a systematic review and meta-analysis research methodology, in order to identify the relevant strategies and variables applied to the theme of emergency settlements. This investigation identified and analyzed the measurable and nonmeasurable fea- tures of 501 emergency settlements, of which 37/ were open and 124 were closed at the time of the investigation. The data were collected in the first quarter of 2020 and reect the situation of the settlements in 2019. The settlements were divided into three main groups: refugee camps, which are settlements that accommodate refugees; [DP settlements, which are settlements that accom- modate forcibly displaced people in their country of origin; and community settlements, which are settlements adjacent to existing communities, which share most of their facilities and host refugees or lDPs. Camps managed by the United Nations Relief and Works Agency (UNRWA) in Palestine and Lebanon, which cater for Palestine refugees were not included in the data set as due to their particular situation, they are inuenced by political, social, and economic aspects, and most of them have amalgamated with existing cities, thus these camps no longer function as isolated settlements. A set of variables considered noteworthy for the characterization of each settlement was used as the basis for the data collection. Those variables included geographical position (country, locality, latitude/ longitude, climate), which determines where each type of settlement is currently located; situation (opening/ closing date, size, population), which is used to calculate their lifespan and verify their endurance, and density as indicative of the level of social interaction among residents; background (motive, displaced condition, origin/ethnic group), which distinguishes the circumstances in which each settlement was Sont) 7:16 . LTE 45 Done sustainability-13... Q & ability 2021, 13, 13586 13 of 20 Heat map of relationships between variables Average.Rain..mm. Area..m2.person. Percentage_12.to.17 Area Percentage._60.plus Density..People.km2. Percentage_Female Percentage_Male Percentage_18.to.59 Not closely related Average.Temperature..Celsius. Longitude Population Size.km2. Planning Latitude closely related Percentage_0.to.11 04 Lifespan..years. 05 Continent Climate 0.6 Region Country 0.8 Management .0to.11 Shespan years Population Longitude re.Celsius. are Male Area entage_18.to.59 People.km2 ge._60.plus ercentage_Female age_12.to. Area...m2.person. hee Rain. percent Density. .Pe age. Tempo percent Figure 9. Example of heat map with relationship between variables in an emergency settlement. Heat map of Emergency Settlements per type, showing their distinct topologies e Camp IDP Settlement Community Settlement igure 10. Heat map-showing relationships between variables of emergency settlements, representing the topology of ach type. Regarding refugee camps, there are more closely related variables than not, which shows more consistency, and therefore stronger characteristics. The main assertions derived from the analysis are: The physical size (square kilometer) of a refugee camp is closely related to its popu- lation size and the way it was formed (planned or self-settled), but it is not closely related to most of the other variables, such as location; ability 2021, 13, 13586 14 of 20mluh'l ll Done sustainability-13... Q g m 2021. 13, 13556 mug an\" \"mungunua \"use .Ipcs u. semen\"... anus; mt game. manner "use. "um\7:15 . LTE 45 Done sustainability-13... Q & sustainability MDPI Article Decoding Emergency Settlement through Quantitative Analysis Abdon Dantas 1,*, David Banh 2, Philip Heywood 3 and Miguel Amado 10 Civil Engineering Research and Innovation for Sustainability (CERIS), Instituto Superior Tecnico, Universidade de Lisboa, 1049-001 Lisbon, Portugal; miguelpamado@tecnico.ulisboa.pt N School of Mathematics and Physics, University of Queensland, Brisbane 4067, Australia; d.banh@uq.edu.au School of Architecture and Built Environment, Queensland University of Technology, Brisbane 4000, Australia; philhey@bigpond.com Correspondence: abdon.dantas@tecnico.ulisboa.pt Abstract: By the end of 2020, more than 80 million people were forcibly displaced around the world; this represents about one percent of the global population. Many of the displaced found shelter in emergency settlements; whether in refugee camps, IDP camps or community settlements. Some of these settlements are transitory, while others have been consolidated into permanent habitats; some span the size of a city, while others are the size of a village; some are well structured, while others provide only the bare minimum needed by residents. Notwithstanding these variations, there is still a lack of understanding of the range, depth, scale, and scope of these settlements. There is also a need for comparative analysis between different types of emergency settlements, as they are still generalized as temporary encampments. The aim of the study is to identify the distinctiveness of each type of emergency settlement to demonstrate that one strategy for their planning and management will not fit all. It does so by reviewing the criteria for analyzing emergency settlements around the world by using a quantitative analysis methodology on a set of variables considered relevant for the check for updates characterization of each typology based on a set of 500 cases. The results indicate that each type of emergency settlement has different characteristics and topology, and identify which variables, being Citation: Dantas, A.; Banh, D.; identical, influence each typology differently. The article also discusses the basis for better-informed Heywood, P.; Amado, M. Decoding Emergency Settlement through decision-making about the medium and long-term policies applicable to individual settlements. Quantitative Analysis. Sustainability 2021, 13, 13586. https:/ /doi.org/ Keywords: human habitat; crisis management; sheltering; forcibly displaced; informal settlement; 10.3390/su132413586 refugee camp; emergency settlement Academic Editor: Grazia Napoli Received: 27 October 2021 1. Introduction Accepted: 6 December 2021 The movement of people is not a new problem or a recent occurrence. Over the cen- Published: 8 December 2021 turies, it was customary for humans to move in search of food and better living conditions. Even in forced situations, people found ways to create viable shelters. However, this Publisher's Note: MDPI stays neutral concept now faces new challenges of scale and exclusion of the refugees who are, according with regard to jurisdictional claims in to the 1951 UN Convention, people "unable or unwilling to return to their country of origin published maps and institutional affil- owing to a well-founded fear of being persecuted for reasons of race, religion, nationality, iations. membership or a particular social group, or political opinion". Humanitarian actors concerned with helping displaced populations have struggled cc to respond to multiple crises plaguing different regions of the planet simultaneously [1]. Today, more than 80 million people are forced to leave their homes for different reasons, Copyright: @ 2021 by the authors. increasingly including the impacts of climate change. The increase in climate refugees as Licensee MDPI, Basel, Switzerland. a phenomenon of international migration also occurs in reaction to more recent extreme This article is an open access article environmental factors and due to war and famine [2]. distributed under the terms and For these populations, more than ever, the immediate option for finding shelter is conditions of the Creative Commons in emergency settlements, which do not always meet the conditions of ethnic, cultural Attribution (CC BY) license (https:/ / creativecommons.org/licenses/by/ or religious balance. On the other hand, the scarcity of resettlement alternatives, partly 4.0/) due to the increased protectionism of potential host countries, is causing an increase in Sustainability 2021, 13, 13586. https:/ / doi.org/10.3390/su132413586 https://www.mdpi.com/journal/sustainability Sustainability 2021, 13, 13586 2 of 207:16 . LTE 45 Done sustainability-13... Q & bility 2021, 13, 13586 6 of 20 are in Africa (58 per cent). Figures 2 and 3 show that refugee camps are the most common type (75 per cent), and are more common in Asia (85 per cent) than in Africa (69 per cent). Percentage of open emergency settlement per region in 2019 25% Africa: 58% Asia: 42% 24% 19% 16% 5% 2% 1% Central Africa East Africa North Africa South Africa West Africa South Asia South East Asia West Asia Figure 1. Graph showing the percentage of open emergency settlements per region in 2019. Percentage of each type of emergency settlement in 2019 80% 75% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 15% 10% 9% 0% Refugee Camp IDP Settlement Community Settlement Figure 2. Pie chart showing the percentage of each type of emergency settlement open in 2019. Percentage of each type of Emergency Settlement per Continent 85% 69% 22% 10% 9% 5% Refugee camp IDP Settlement Community Settlement Africa Asia Figure 3. Graph showing the percentage of each type of emergency settlement per continent in 2019. The results also show that most emergency settlements that are currently open are in temperate (42 per cent) or tropical (38 per cent) climates (Figure 4); however, the most common type of climate for emergency settlements differ from continent, with African settlements present mostly in tropical climate, whereas Asian settlements are present mostly in temperate climate. This result shows that despite the great majority of emergency settlements being located either in the tropical or sub-tropical regions, in general, their concentration is not related to a specific climate. ability 2021, 13, 13586 7 of 20Done sustainability-13... Q g m Sustainability 2021, 13, 13586. httpsz/fdoiorg/10.3390/su132413586 htlpsz//u'\\v\\\\'.mdpi,com /]ournal/sustainability Sirslitmaluhtu 2021, l}, 135?\": 2 of 2:! the number, size, and life of these emergency camps, with some consolidating into long lasting settlements. This phenomenon of consolidation into large, dense and permanent communities has been accelerated by the substantial growth in the number of forcibly displaced populations and the postponement of emergency contexts [2]. Emergency settlements are seen and understood as transitory habitats with minimal conditions. This understanding means that their planning and management depend on temporary solutions, rather than measures and infrastructure capable of sustaining long-term occupation. There is also a failure to differentiate between the three known types of emergency settlement: refugee camp; internally displaced persons [IDP] camp; and Community settlement, which tend to be generalized as "emergency camps\". Thus, these concepts are reected in the design strategies, and often result in unsustainable and dehumanizing habitats. 1.1. importance of Emergency Settlements Until the 19703, emergency settlements were analyzed using physical parameters and minimum performance standards There was little theoretical or scientific investigation into the social. political. economic or environmental aspects of these types of settlements. The aforementioned perception started to change in the 19805 with Cuny, a disaster relief specialist who participated in many humanitarian projects around the world Cuny thought that emergency settlements should be looked at through a holistic and crosssectorial approach that takes into account the capacity for self-support and needs of the affected community [-l]. A decade later, the Italian philosopher Agamben [i] published the book Homo Sacer, where he proposed a different perspective on emergency camps, that sets aside the physical aspects and focuses on the socio-political. Agamben considers camps as a place of exclusion with a hidden matrix and nomos of the political space in which we are still living, that is, they are an integral part of human society and a biopoliticai paradigm of social life. His approach to the subject from a political angle opened the door for investigators to explore elds beyond the immediate normative and empirical factors. Following Agamben, the French anthropologist Agier emphasized the importance of emergency camps, and their role as an integral part of human society and as a vanguard to develop human habitats. He had previously called refugee camps "unfinished urban- izations", referring to the image of the countryside as a bare city [h]. in a more recent publication, Agier defined refugee camps as places of extraterritoriality, exception and exclusion, considering them as off-site spaces that transform their inhabitants, as well as the inhabitants of the region to which they belong. He also suggested that refugee camps are gradually creating a new global scenario, due to the increasingly common adoption of this solution by governments and international agencies to accommodate displaced people [1']. Other academics have proposed that the city and modern society cannot be understood without the refugee camp [a]. Sanyal ['i] sees refugee spaces as quintessential geographies of the modern world and complex spaces that challenge the socioespatial imagination of academics and practitioners. Picker and Pasquetti [Iii] highlighted the growing prominence of emergency camps as a feature of social landscapes across the world. alluding to the need for an interdisciplinary debate on their study, including geography, sociology and social anthropology, and calling for urban scholarship on camps. Some scholars have proposed new definitions of refugee camps, such as "transition settlements\" [l 1], \"political agencies\" [l2], \"places of opportunity" [1}], and \"humanitarian urbanism\" [H], arguing that they are like cities. Most recently, Oesch [i5] elaborated on A gamben's conceptualization of exception to reconsider the idea of the emergency camp as a zone of indistinction between exclusion and inclusion by analyzing its subjectification within the framework of ambiguity. For Oesch, camp dwellers are autonomous and productive entrepreneurs and consumers. He also differentiated camps from cities by depicting them as spaces of multiple ambiguities Done sustainability-13... Q g m Hi'iii'iiv 2021, H, 135% ll oiZE) Reiugee Settlement Settlemem Community [amp so plus 1859 V0 11717 yo n11 ya 60 plus 13-59 yo 12717 ya 0711 ya so plus 13-59 yo 12-17 yo 0711 yo Demographics of open Emergency Settlements per type in 2019 0"; t: , , , , , 4436 16% . _ . . 36% 45k . 42% LEE 37% 4% , 41% . 15% 37% 5". 10"; 15". 20\". 25% 30}. 35C. 30% L153: 50:- Figure 7. Graph showing demographics percentage in open emergency settlements in 2019 by t) pe. 25% 29% 15% 10% 5% 0% 3.1.5. Social Diversity One of the ways of verifying the degree of urbanization of a settlement is through the level of diversity of its society, This aspect can he verified through the analysis of the background of its constituents, Settlements with constituents of multiethnic background, be it country, region, ethnicity, tribe, or clan tend to be more culturally diverse. and therefore, meet the criterion for socml diversdy to be considered an urban settlement [ in]. Figure -'~ indicates the percentage of refugee camps that have re51dents from at least two or more backgrounds. Percentage at refugee camps with residents of two or more backgrounds 21% 6 \"4 Africa Asia Figure 8. Graph showing the percentage ut' refugee camps \"'llll residents of two or more backgrounds per continent. llllli'lll/ 2021, 13, 13555 The results show that 2] per cent of the camps in Africa have a diverse society with residents coming from more than one ethnic group or country. An example is Kakuma in Kenya, which has residents from more than 10 countries. This diversity is not as prominent in Asia, with only six per cent of camps having a diverse society. It can then be established that when taking into consideration the level of social diversity, African settlements are more likely to have closer similarities to towns and cities, in which diversity is one of the prominent characteristics, whereas Asian settlements are more likely to have closer similarities to villages. Regarding IDP settlements, the diversity in those settlements is almost nonexistent, as expected, as their inhabitants did not to cross international borders, and tend to come lZniZtJ Done sustainability-13... Q g m rllrlitv 2021, l}, 1.75% 7olZU Location of open Emergency Settlements per climate In 2019 2- 7'; F t . l.' . .. -: 4.. '. . - . ., ' . ., r. r 7 on: um i) 1 04:0 2 :mn H lomele'j Figure 4. Map showing the location of open emergency settlements in 2019 and the respective climate. 3.1.2. Average Lifespan The analysis of average lifespan gives an indication of what type of settlement is more likely to endure, therefore, they are susceptible to consolidate into a long-lasting habitat [39]. The analysis is also used to corroborate the proposition that emergency settlements should not be assumed to be temporary. The results shows that open emergency settlements currently have an average lifespan of 20.8 years with a standard deviation of 16.1 years, whereas closed ones had been open on average for 12.1 years with a standard deviation of1[).7 years (Figure 3). This result not only validates the affirmation that emergency settlements are no longer transient habitats, since they have a high average lifespan, but also gives the indication of a trend ofcontinuity, demonstrated by the fact that camps opened more recently are lasting longer than the ones opened in the past. Ave rage lifespan in years of closed/open emergency settlement per type as per June 2020 Years Closed Currently Open (2019/2020) Err-"mt" :-. Setilw a: 'igure 5. Graph showing the average lifespan in years of closed and open emergency settlement on June 2020 per type and rand average. Done sustainability-13... Q g m ill'lli'li'l/ 2021, l}. 135% I-loiZU I The location of a refugee camp (latitude/longitude) is not closely related to size (physical or population), but is closely related to most of the other variables, including the percentage of children and women, indicating that the population of certain areas are more vulnerable than others; - The lifespan of a refugee camp is not related to a continent or country, showing that this type of settlement can be established anywhere, but it is closely related to climate. Regarding IDP settlements, the variables of the cases analyzed were less related to one another, making them more diverse than refugee camps. Other assertions are: u The physical size (square kilometer) of an IDI' settlement is not closely related to its location (country, latitude/longitude, climate), but it is closely related to other variables, such as population size and demographics; o The location (latitude/longitude) of an IDI' settlement is not closely related to most variables, with the exception of the percentage of teenagers (12 to 17 years old); - The lifespan of an IDI' settlement is not closely related to location (country, lati- tude/longitude, climate), but it is closely related to population size and demographics. Regarding community settlement, there is a balance between the numbers of variables that are closely and not closely related to another. Other assertions are: I The physical size (square kilometer) of a community settlement is not closely re, lated to its population size or demographics, but it is closely related to most of the other variables; a Latitude and longitude of community settlements have different relationships to other variables, opposite to camps and lDP settlements, where those variables have similar responses. For instance, demographics are closely related to latitude but not longitude; - The lifespan of a community settlement is closely related to size, location (continent), and percentage of male and female, but is not closely related to its population size or density. 4. Discussion The results from the distribution analysis conrms not only the longevity of emergency settlements, but also the individuality of each type, which presents different results from investigation of the chosen variables. The result of their lifespan calculation revealed an average duration of almost 21 years, suggesting that emergency settlements should not necessarily be understood or considered as transient. Long lifespan and potential consolidation have been increasingly related to refugee camps more than other types of emergency settlements, but are not associated with a particular location or population size. This implies that the planning and management of emergency settlements might require further examination regarding their continuance, when compared and confronted with Sustainable Deerlapnn'irt Curtis [ in]. The statistical modelling corroborates the theory confirmed by the distribution analysis that each type of settlement has its own characteristics, through the unique representation of their topology, and the particular way in which variables inuence each emergency settlement, This exposes the importance of considering the heterogeneity of sheltering responses in emergency situations when shaping the policy for planning and management of emergency settlements, as well as the need to address violence, education, and health care services with important supportive policies. Besides these important ndings, the study also revealed that the older the emergency settlement, the more resemblance it carries to permanent ones, regarding density, demo- graphics, and level of development. The study has not only conrmed the theory of Oesch that emergency settlements differentiate from one another just as cities and towns do, but also determined that consolidated refugee camps tend to emulate cities and towns, not only in terms of density, but also in terms of socio, economic, and political complexity, whereas consolidated lDl' encampments and community settlements are inclined to be more similar to villages, which are being culturally uniform and simply structured. This 7:16 . LTE 45 Done sustainability-13... Q & Sustainability 2021, 13, 13586 8 of 20 Regarding types of settlements, open refugee camps have longer lifespan (23.8 years with standard deviation of 16.7 years) than IDP settlements (15.5 years with standard deviation of 11.2 years) and community settlements (8.8 years with standard deviation of 6.6 years). The standard deviation represents the amount of spread of the set of values, which is this case is lifespan in years. The smaller the variation, the closer the data points are to the average, giving a more reliable estimate. A coefficient of variation above 70 per cent in the analysis certifies the reliability of the estimation (Figure 6). Box plot of average lifespan and deviation of closed and open emergency settlements in 2019 60 Accommodation. Type 40 Community Settlement Lifespan IDP Settlement Refugee Camp . 20- .. . 0- Closed Open Condition Figure 6. Boxplots of average lifespan and deviation of closed and open emergency settlements. Regarding community settlement, this research identified 57 open settlements. Of those, 42 have a lifespan of 6.2 or 6.3 years. All of these cases are located in Cameroon and are the result of one conflict in the Central Africa Republic; hence, they have a similar lifespan. In that particular case, the high amount of a type of settlement in the same condition does not give the desired representativeness; however, the high accuracy of that data is not relevant. Similar cases can be noted in the closed IDP settlements, where most of them had a short lifespan in the past. In terms of refugee camps, this study identified 119 camps that opened in the last decade (2010 to 2019) and 70 camps that opened in the previous one (2000 to 2009), repre- senting an increase of 70 per cent in the number of camps that opened from one decade to another, whereas the number of camps that closed remained almost the same (Table 1). Table 1. Data on opening and closure of refugee camps in the last two decades. Number of Percentage Percentage Decade of Number of Number of Camps Average Age of Camps Camps of Camps Average Age Camps of Closed of Open Opening Opened Closed to Closed to Closed in Closed in Date Date 10 Years 10 Years Camp Camp 2000-2009 70 23 33% 16 23% 8.5 15.2 2010-2019 119 25 21% 25 21% 4.5 6.7 Scheme 2020. Emergency Settlement Catalogue. ustainability 2021, 13, 13586 9 of 20Done sustainability-13... Q g m Sirst-mivilu'hiy 2021, i3, 135?\": 3 of 2:! and subjectivities, which represents a more general princrple of governing camps. Oesch believes that camps differentiate from each other depending on the geoepolitical aspects, just as cities and towns do. Although relevant to the understanding of emergency settlement, the aforementioned works and other investigations published thus far on the topic do not elaborate enough on the particularities of each type of emergency settlement, which can inuence not only the way they are formed and develop, but also their status as transient spaces. An example is the political aspect of pennanent infrastructure. In refugee camps, that aspect is connected to the consideration of the camps as temporary spaces, as well as to the way they are represented to surrounding communities. These political aspects are inherently different in settlements for internally displaced persons and in community settlements. 1.2. Types uflnirmnl Scitleim'nts, Rensoiisfer Tlii'fr Existence, Planning mid Establishment Three main kinds of event provoke exodus: conict, natural disaster, and famine. The options for shelter for those forced to abandon their homes are divided into two main categories: dispersed and grouped. Dispersed sheltering can be taken in host families and rural or urban self-settlement Grouped sheltering can be taken in existing communities in collective centers or designated areas, or in new settlements established formally or informally during emergencies in the form of encampments, Whenever possible, forcibly displaced people try to take refuge with relatives or acquaintances who live far enough from conflict zones or challenging environments. Others gravitate to urban centers, due to the higher quality of basic services that cities can offer, such as security, education, health, and housrng, better job opportunity. and to avoid dayetoeday life restrictions in other people's homes or camps [In]. Emergency settlements are quite often the last resource. They are particularly appealing to refugees who do not feel safe in their own country or people who cannot travel long distances, especially the most vulnerable, such as the elderly, the disabled, and single mothers and their children. For instance, more than half of all people currently living in refugee camps are under 18 years old [17]. Regardless of the reason for their implementation, these settlements can be created in two different ways: planned or selfrsettled. Planned settlements are either established by authorities as an immediate response to an emergency or planned in advance, whereas selfsettled camps are informally established by shelter seekers. Emergency settlements also differ according to the status of their inhabitants, who can be classified as refugees or internally displaced persons (lDl's). The United Nations High Commissioner for Refugees (UNHCR) considers IDl's as ousted people who remain uprooted within their own country, whilst refugees leave their country of origin or habitual residence in search of shelter. The main factors that influence the location of camps that cater for IDI's are avoidance of risky areas 5 sceptible to the same cause of the displacement; the availability of at least 45 square meters of space per person: topography with a gradient between one and five per cent, in order to avoid flooding; proximity to a water source; and facility of access to assistance. Besides the aforementioned factors, refugee camps should be located at least 5t) km from the border due to security issues [l7]. In many cases, isolation from existing settlements is also taken into consideration. Regarding refugee camps, quite often they are established in areas that have been discarded for future exploration by local government; hence, these are challenging environments with few resources. According to UNHCR [1'], no camp should be larger than 20,000 people. Due to the unpredictable nature of emergency events, many camps surpass the proposed size several times over. Settlements set up by authorities generally have a militarystyle grid layout, which consists of plots (5 to 10 people), blocks (100 to 120 plots), and sectors (8 to 10 blocks) [1'9]. The main reasons for the employment of this approach are the facility of setting up, and ease of circulation, especially for humanitarian assistance and in case of emergency evacuation. Another reason for the use of grid systems is to facilitate the Control of its inhabitants. Consideration of strategies to dismantle the Camps should also Done sustainability-13... Q g m rllrhty 2021, ii, 135?\": 5 (villi formed; and demographics (gender and age range), which shows the level of connection to the places and vulnerability of their residents. Lifespan was calculated as the time from the opening date to the closing date, or the opening date to June 2020, for the settlements still open at that time, The data was sourced from the UNHCR archive and data portal [:1], documents and reports from other humanitarian institutions, such as the International Organization for Migration (10M) and International Federation of Red Cross and Red Crescent Societies (IFRC) and non-governmental organizations (NGOS) such as the Norwegian Refugee Council (NRC) and Oxfam, as well as from periodicals and academic papers, through electronic search engines, library visits, and recommendations from experts on the topic. Geographical data was harvested from reliable sources, such as Google Maps [22] for latitude and longitude, and climate data [2?] was searched for climate information. In refugee complex scenarios where the settlement consists of a cluster of small communities, each community was considered as an individual camp if it had particular characteristics and was considerably distant from others, for instance, in cases where some communities were self-settled, and some were planned. This happened in complexes, such as Dadaab and Dale Ado. When the communities were too close to each other to be considered individual camps, such as the Rhino camp and Adjumani camp, their data were amalgamated, and the refugee complex was treated as a unique settlement. In cases where the demographic percentage or the size of a certain settlement could not be found. the figure adopted was the average of the data from other settlements in the same region. The data collected were collated in a spreadsheet [1 1]. References from data collected on each settlement is available in the Emergency Settlement Catalogue [1?]. The investigation makes use of quantitative analysis of the data gathered through the application of statistical distribution and modelling to analyze and decode each type. The statistical distribution analysis results were obtained by estimating the percentage. average, and standard deviation, using Excel software as the calculation tool. The modelling was done by multivariate data analysis, using R programming language. This process was done by singular value decomposition, which is an algorithm for finding the most important interactions and relationships in the data. The decomposition presents the subcomponents on a Cartesian plane for topology interpretation. Further information about the modelling calculation process can be found in Appendix .\\ or in the article Multivariate Analysis of Mixed Dam: The R Package PCAnuxdatn [in]. The plots generated by the R programming language were separated per emergency settlement type and are available online 127]. Interviews with the staff and residents of emergency settlements complements the research methodology with factual information. The interviews, which were conducted during 2020, were done online and via phone and email, informally and through purposed questionnaires. Due to the closure of emergency settlements as a response to the global pandemic, it was not possible to do the ethnographic fieldwork in person. 3. Results The results of the quantitative analysis presented next have been separated by statisti- cal methods: distribution and modelling. 3.1, Statistical Distribution The statistical distribution analysis focused on geographical location, lifespan, density, and the demographics of the emergency settlements investigated The objective of this analysis was to establish their most likely location, duration, and characteristics as a way to assist in their conceptualization and distinguish one from another. 3.1.1. Geographical Location The analysis of the location of emergency settlements that are currently open provides an indication of which type is most common per continent, region and climate [:8]. The results depicted in Figure i show that most emergency settlements that are currently open Tf'i'ftitt 2021. 13, 135% (i onU

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