Jack Byer is evaluating two sets of very similar suppliers. One set of suppliers, Storm Set is well

established in a port city, but the port is hurricane susceptible, meaning there is a$2\%$ probability

of a $$super$-$event$($a storm$),$ but a $$unique event$$ probability of only $\mathrm{.}3\%.$ However, Inland Set

has a $$super$-$event$$ probability of $\mathrm{.}5\%$ and a $$unique event$$ probability of $\mathrm{.}8\%.$ Purchases cost

for Storm Set is $$300,000$ and $$350,000$ for Inland Set. However, any disruption will double the

cost to $$600,000.$ and $$700,000$ respectively. Storm Set has $2$ suppliers and Inland Set has $3$

suppliers. Given these costs and probabilities which Set seems best?