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Joe, age 6 5 , recently retired after a long career in the aerospace industry, first as a pilot, then as a test pilot, and
Joe, age recently retired after a long career in the aerospace industry, first as a pilot, then as a test
pilot, and finally as a project manager overseeing the testing and production of planes. He and his wife
Charlene, age recently retired. Even though they are retired, they prefer to maintain their current
lifestyle with spending needs of $ per year in real terms. Inflation is expected to be with the
nominal riskfree rate equal to The couple's survival probabilities for the next three years are shown
in the table below.
A Determine the probability that either Joe or Charlene will survive for three years.
B Calculate the capitalized value of the couple's core spending needs over the next three years.
To calculate core capital for an individual, you would:
A forecast future nominal needs, discount at the real riskfree rate, and then add a safety reserve.
B forecast future real needs, discount at the real riskfree rate, and then subtract a safety reserve.
C use Monte Carlo simulation to project how long existing capital is projected to last.
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