Question
Johnson Chemicals is considering two options for its supplier portfolio. Option 1 uses two local suppliers. Each has a unique-event risk of 4.5%, and the
Johnson Chemicals is considering two options for its supplier portfolio. Option 1 uses two local suppliers. Each has a "unique-event" risk of 4.5%, and the probability of a "super-event" that would disable both at the same time is estimated to be 1.6%. Option 2 uses two suppliers located in different countries. Each has a "unique-event" risk of 14%, and the probability of a "super-event" that would disable both at the same time is estimated to be 0.24%.
a) The probability that both suppliers will be disrupted using option 1 is. 01799
b) The probability that both suppliers will be disrupted using option 2 is ___ (round your response to five decimal places).
c) Which option would provide the lowest risk of a total shutdown?
___ provides the lowest risk of a total shutdown.
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